Middle East · resolved market
Israel strike on the West Bank by December 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94fb93c44866cd2bb3a82f68d8f81eef4e4f5bde44eb11e96b2a5d536797fcef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $299,689
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $505,090
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $299,689 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 18c | 4,396$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.28 | 427 | 38.9%166 W · 261 L | +30.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 1c | 3,300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 197 | 6.6%13 W · 184 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked Yes | 16c | 1,489$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.25 | 367 | 50.4%185 W · 182 L | +39.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb1…bf68backed Yes | 7c | 1,463$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.85 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf2…45bcbacked Yes | 7c | 1,100$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 27c | 1,050$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.24 | 458 | 43.7%200 W · 258 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c4…7d1dbacked No | 36c | 979.21$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.21 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +45%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed No | 35c | 896.57$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.75 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab7e…2a96backed Yes | 77c | 852$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.06 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x983c…385dbacked No | 17c | 790.59$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.02 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 26c | 675.45$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.11 | 428 | 18.7%80 W · 348 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 24c | 644.28$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.29 | 473 | 34%161 W · 312 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…5780backed No | 17c | 644.11$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.28 | 382 | 47.6%182 W · 200 L | +37.1wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x90be…c800backed Yes | 65c | 632.36$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.77 | 153 | 31.4%48 W · 105 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe87e…4f70backed Yes | 17c | 537$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.29 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked No | 60c | 521.24$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.6 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -16.0wins | -0.39per pick | 63cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 23-0.24 edge/pick |
| 0xbb65…172cbacked Yes | 54c | 513.03$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.76 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +6.1wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa0…488bbacked No | 40c | 500.75$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.75 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588c…1bf4backed No | 22c | 499.99$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.99 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80b8…9c0ebacked Yes | 71c | 462.57$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.07 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…c131backed No | 30c | 413.91$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.15 | 176 | 46.6%82 W · 94 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b92…45eebacked No | 48c | 412.49$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.49 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked No | 27c | 400.26$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.21 | 133 | 42.1%56 W · 77 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02a0…68fdbacked Yes | 11c | 400$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 35c | 399.99$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.99 | 212 | 59.9%127 W · 85 L | +21.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 65c | 397.47$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.16 | 563 | 36.6%206 W · 357 L | +44.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc18f…605abacked Yes | 78c | 386.96$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.19 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x466e…ed99backed No | 45c | 328$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.4 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 36cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 42c | 313.53$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.08 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8be…c8d1backed No | 22c | 306.79$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.8 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf27d…e6d3backed No | 24c | 305.07$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.31 | 154 | 36.4%56 W · 98 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0cb…ab6abacked No | 67c | 304$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.32 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba3d…cdfabacked Yes | 33c | 297$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.01 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…9c76backed Yes | 17c | 296$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.32 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe36c…a6f0backed Yes | 48c | 286$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.28 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…1214backed Yes | 55c | 273$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.15 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x083f…a55fbacked No | 28c | 267.86$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.86 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc40a…1f50backed No | 72c | 265$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 73c | 264.11$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.12 | 53 | 13.2%7 W · 46 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 48c | 260.76$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.78 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e4…9b0dbacked No | 29c | 259.47$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.47 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +52%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…6a81backed Yes | 14c | 235$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.63 | 432 | 12.5%54 W · 378 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf59f…3be9backed No | 39c | 234.81$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.93 | 157 | 43.9%69 W · 88 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b4…5dbebacked No | 44c | 229.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.05 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32a5…99e3backed No | 28c | 226.38$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.59 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked Yes | 68c | 210$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.1 | 202 | 47%95 W · 107 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 9c | 204.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 40 | 0%0 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69b7…767bbacked Yes | 29c | 202.27$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.05 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 8c | 200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 83 | 6%5 W · 78 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 713 | 5.6%40 W · 673 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b0…76f4backed No | 20c | 200$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe52…32c5backed Yes | 38c | 199.98$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.49 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83dc…b08ebacked Yes | 33c | 197.54$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.35 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43cf…88fabacked No | 64c | 191.62$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.98 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf085…a01fbacked Yes | 28c | 191$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.48 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4516…ea0ebacked Yes | 17c | 188$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.96 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e2…4c8bbacked Yes | 17c | 187$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.79 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b7…f9e3backed No | 41c | 181.14$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.38 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…7523backed No | 52c | 176$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.48 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 20c | 171.46$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.78 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bff…f622backed No | 26c | 170$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.8 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b51…5868backed No | 68c | 166.95$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a25…d5e8backed Yes | 25c | 158.19$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61a8…f658backed Yes | 17c | 156$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +126.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02ee…5adebacked No | 37c | 155$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.65 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked No | 38c | 153$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.86 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 14c | 152.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 288 | 27.8%80 W · 208 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked Yes | 60c | 148.94$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.54 | 101 | 65.3%66 W · 35 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0711…f03cbacked Yes | 18c | 146.97$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.81 | 337 | 41.2%139 W · 198 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x350e…6539backed Yes | 76c | 138.16$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81ba…b311backed Yes | 17c | 128$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca9…4ebbbacked No | 69c | 125$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc5…d5f6backed No | 67c | 121$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.93 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae9…2923backed No | 48c | 118$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.36 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde23…62e9backed Yes | 52c | 118$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a94…7154backed Yes | 33c | 117$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.61 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e66…283abacked Yes | 70c | 116.76$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.87 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24e4…09dcbacked Yes | 17c | 114$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1089…64babacked No | 32c | 113.28$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.03 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 57cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 12c | 111.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 235 | 25.5%60 W · 175 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a10…e442backed Yes | 63c | 110$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5374…952abacked No | 52c | 110$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb32…db85backed Yes | 16c | 105.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 344 | 40.4%139 W · 205 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae1d…e333backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 188 | 33.5%63 W · 125 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5664…f163backed No | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x355e…a038backed No | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 101 | 53.5%54 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb7…5985backed No | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.39per pick | 41cpaid | +94.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa899…f68dbacked No | 40c | 98.93$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.93 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3de…5339backed Yes | 55c | 95$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.25 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 28c | 92.46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.06 | 589 | 27.2%160 W · 429 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e3…300ebacked No | 71c | 91.77$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x711c…8495backed Yes | 63c | 87.61$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5edd…994cbacked Yes | 60c | 84.78$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +345.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce3f…67c9backed No | 23c | 80$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 195 | 34.4%67 W · 128 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2b…fd2cbacked Yes | 33c | 79$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.07 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4264…4811backed Yes | 77c | 77.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0e…282abacked No | 44c | 77$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.03 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x460d…6232backed No | 67c | 76$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd44…1837backed Yes | 28c | 74$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.