Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Siena Saints vs. Rider Broncs: O/U 135.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0f0cce5d67cf27b5a7c91b8be7346b09fc9bac7da17e37587ecce9b837a961a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,167
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,698
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,167 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf085…a01fbacked Under | 21c | 896$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.37 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…2393backed Under | 23c | 793$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3de…5339backed Over | 77c | 745$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.11 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +129.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97ed…28e1backed Over | 79c | 697$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a9…fee3backed Under | 23c | 639$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.05 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16a0…72f1backed Under | 23c | 604$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad5…6f41backed Over | 79c | 589$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed7…b0a5backed Under | 21c | 575$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8433…6e0fbacked Under | 23c | 569$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 32cpaid | +193.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5372…5f61backed Over | 77c | 565$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b45…836ebacked Over | 77c | 516$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7534…d51bbacked Under | 23c | 496$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.59 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x425a…78cbbacked Over | 77c | 436$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd98f…5afdbacked Over | 77c | 433$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…44a9backed Under | 23c | 433$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a8…2a44backed Over | 77c | 431$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.84 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +145.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe87e…4f70backed Over | 77c | 362$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.17 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7289…4bffbacked Over | 77c | 302$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2247…96e8backed Under | 23c | 266$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3734…01a3backed Over | 77c | 266$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aec…fdafbacked Over | 77c | 266$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e36…2479backed Over | 79c | 265$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b4…3258backed Under | 23c | 249$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb132…6943backed Over | 79c | 229$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…cae1backed Under | 23c | 219$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb8…ec8dbacked Over | 77c | 203$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7f…f745backed Under | 21c | 201$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6891…1146backed Over | 79c | 201$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +39%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc94…efd5backed Under | 21c | 187$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaec9…3213backed Under | 21c | 168$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…6d90backed Over | 79c | 145$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +379.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8669…7111backed Under | 23c | 141$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b82…1712backed Under | 23c | 116$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a4…aa57backed Under | 21c | 99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +110.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 46c | 37.04$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 490 | 43.1%211 W · 279 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Siena Saints vs. Rider Broncs: O/U 135.5this page
- Siena Saints vs. Rider BroncsSiena Saints won
- Siena Saints vs. Rider Broncs: O/U 134.5Over won
- Spread: Siena Saints (-8.5)Siena Saints won
- Spread: Siena Saints (-9.5)Rider Broncs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.