Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1acc1c1e80a463007bcc4c3b84a677ef77732d42699405464f86b5d9593f183

Rebuilt 3 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jan 23, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $577,480
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $213,436

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $577,480 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x849c…4009backed Yes	0c	78,282$373 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$372.8	1,799	7.4%133 W · 1,666 L	-24.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	2c	42,548$777 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$777.27	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5cf…0ef8backed Yes	0c	21,340$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.32	100	7%7 W · 93 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xbfc6…ce6bbacked Yes	0c	15,000$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	342	3.5%12 W · 330 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd423…10d3backed Yes	8c	13,952$1,059 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,058.78	86	10.5%9 W · 77 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-36.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1355…6591backed Yes	1c	13,911$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.64	235	9.4%22 W · 213 L	+5.8wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0873…09e8backed Yes	0c	13,775$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.77	169	0%0 W · 169 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe155…45afbacked Yes	1c	12,659$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	209	24.9%52 W · 157 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-17%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cb0…4c27backed Yes	0c	11,500$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	504	5.2%26 W · 478 L	+10.0wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+44.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9285…c19dbacked Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	274	0.4%1 W · 273 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	+257.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f66…b986backed Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	570	17.4%99 W · 471 L	+18.2wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	1c	8,000$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	4c	5,525$239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239.33	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31e3…3a62backed Yes	2c	5,410$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.62	70	11.4%8 W · 62 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	-5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe061…93f9backed Yes	3c	5,288$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.65	211	4.7%10 W · 201 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes	3c	5,249$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.35	259	5.4%14 W · 245 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43ad…da5dbacked Yes	0c	5,000$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	20	15%3 W · 17 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	11cpaid	-41.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	3c	4,475$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.18	530	10.6%56 W · 474 L	+17.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	3c	4,423$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.13	491	6.7%33 W · 458 L	+11.5wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b66…02edbacked Yes	1c	4,000$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.9	180	9.4%17 W · 163 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Yes	5c	3,636$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.2	187	9.1%17 W · 170 L	-6.1wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-76.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4978…956bbacked Yes	3c	3,373$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	479	8.6%41 W · 438 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c95…0775backed Yes	4c	3,100$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.9	31	16.1%5 W · 26 L	+1.8wins	+0.06per pick	10cpaid	+73.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cf1…ee87backed Yes	6c	3,072$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.46	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+0.7wins	+0.09per pick	16cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6aad…3a85backed Yes	3c	2,916$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.93	24	12.5%3 W · 21 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	4c	2,620$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.51	691	5.5%38 W · 653 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a0e…6369backed Yes	0c	2,500$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	27	22.2%6 W · 21 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad78…6df3backed Yes	5c	2,500$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.5	244	12.7%31 W · 213 L	-6.7wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9df3…ddfcbacked Yes	9c	2,287$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	348	33.3%116 W · 232 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89c6…6f63backed Yes	5c	1,965$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.21	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-1.4wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1016…c866backed Yes	2c	1,902$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.49	40	22.5%9 W · 31 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b76…bf1dbacked Yes	4c	1,900$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.4	17	0%0 W · 17 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ad2…e985backed Yes	3c	1,869$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.31	148	8.8%13 W · 135 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2eaf…e6d5backed Yes	4c	1,771$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.14	95	5.3%5 W · 90 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	8cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	3c	1,754$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.72	2,181	3.9%85 W · 2,096 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8c49…9525backed Yes	2c	1,604$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.68	53	20.8%11 W · 42 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes	4c	1,522$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.43	730	4.5%33 W · 697 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb65b…b5d4backed Yes	1c	1,430$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	20	15%3 W · 17 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	+12%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05f4…150abacked Yes	2c	1,415$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	16	0%0 W · 16 L	-1.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x453a…fdb8backed Yes	5c	1,393$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.25	398	6.8%27 W · 371 L	+9.8wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+30.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd520…723dbacked Yes	1c	1,335$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa95b…6927backed Yes	6c	1,330$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	+54.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f67…2fd3backed Yes	2c	1,323$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.65	60	3.3%2 W · 58 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-78.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd493…7f04backed Yes	4c	1,313$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.38	279	4.7%13 W · 266 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cc9…1938backed Yes	8c	1,200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.6	25	8%2 W · 23 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x025f…6771backed Yes	3c	1,177$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	19	0%0 W · 19 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a24…3845backed Yes	3c	1,037$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.85	111	8.1%9 W · 102 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34e5…d9d0backed Yes	1c	1,015$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.15	58	8.6%5 W · 53 L	+2.5wins	+0.04per pick	4cpaid	+67.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6396…7e87backed Yes	10c	1,012$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	43	14%6 W · 37 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	+47.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc73…2640backed Yes	7c	1,000$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	51	9.8%5 W · 46 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	9cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	1c	1,000$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	789	8.7%69 W · 720 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-36.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	9c	1,000$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94	712	16.7%119 W · 593 L	-13.0wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3506…a7ecbacked Yes	5c	1,000$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	112	8.9%10 W · 102 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7413…4b09backed Yes	3c	999.95$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	809	11.1%90 W · 719 L	+29.7wins	+0.04per pick	7cpaid	+31.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd669…f5e7backed Yes	3c	993.58$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.43	135	6.7%9 W · 126 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xad9f…9971backed Yes	3c	990$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.59	352	12.8%45 W · 307 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9519…9739backed Yes	10c	981.07$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	65	18.5%12 W · 53 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8593…c931backed Yes	9c	775.08$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.15	130	20%26 W · 104 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	9c	770.71$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.81	788	11.5%91 W · 697 L	-33.7wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e58…efdabacked Yes	5c	700$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.77	42	16.7%7 W · 35 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+68.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cb0…27f8backed Yes	8c	699.97$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.2	116	18.1%21 W · 95 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	+30.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83cc…3bcdbacked Yes	8c	647.49$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	36	22.2%8 W · 28 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58cd…775abacked Yes	5c	641.89$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	386	14.2%55 W · 331 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa06c…0861backed Yes	4c	641$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.47	146	8.2%12 W · 134 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ab7…7884backed Yes	3c	626.25$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	62	6.5%4 W · 58 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	10cpaid	-41.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x89b9…9471backed Yes	2c	611.11$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	4	0%0 W · 4 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x37b9…e1d7backed Yes	3c	607.89$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	26	23.1%6 W · 20 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b8…5a0fbacked Yes	5c	583.3$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.1	604	27.5%166 W · 438 L	-9.3wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-45.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x57a7…3becbacked Yes	3c	581.51$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7c6…5529backed Yes	3c	576.92$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	31	3.2%1 W · 30 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	4cpaid	-71.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8c25…8d52backed Yes	6c	565.59$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.12	194	8.8%17 W · 177 L	-4.0wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-48.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b27…0b98backed Yes	4c	504.4$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.2	344	27%93 W · 251 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2bf2…45bcbacked Yes	7c	500$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	105	10.5%11 W · 94 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	9cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bee…5628backed Yes	5c	500$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	97	16.5%16 W · 81 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ec1…2a1dbacked Yes	10c	500$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	19	10.5%2 W · 17 L	-1.5wins	-0.08per pick	18cpaid	-61.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5d6…e6d7backed Yes	3c	499.98$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	68	5.9%4 W · 64 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	10cpaid	-30%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x440a…9599backed Yes	4c	455.1$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	31	9.7%3 W · 28 L	-1.7wins	-0.06per pick	15cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fa6…4094backed Yes	2c	436.72$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	307	14%43 W · 264 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9e4…7b9abacked Yes	4c	419.66$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.95	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	+1.3wins	+0.07per pick	14cpaid	+35.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a27…93e8backed Yes	3c	415.84$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.61	30	16.7%5 W · 25 L	-1.8wins	-0.06per pick	23cpaid	-60.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3382…4b67backed Yes	9c	400$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	51	7.8%4 W · 47 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-20%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6496…8e19backed Yes	4c	387.17$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	178	17.4%31 W · 147 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes	7c	354.61$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.99	134	30.6%41 W · 93 L	+3.6wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8aa2…bd41backed Yes	9c	300$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.5	161	19.9%32 W · 129 L	-6.3wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xad0a…7898backed Yes	9c	298.78$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.85	70	18.6%13 W · 57 L	+5.7wins	+0.08per pick	10cpaid	+104.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xec4f…24cfbacked Yes	8c	265.36$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	22	13.6%3 W · 19 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	-64.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3b…88eabacked Yes	8c	255.85$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.57	204	13.2%27 W · 177 L	-9.4wins	-0.05per pick	18cpaid	-47.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a97…4800backed Yes	5c	255.65$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.53	695	15.7%109 W · 586 L	-17.3wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x73c4…9f47backed Yes	9c	246.19$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1621…52a9backed Yes	9c	225.25$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.07per pick	13cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1efe…ac77backed Yes	9c	225$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.98	99	10.1%10 W · 89 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d38…d383backed Yes	5c	222.29$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.43	71	21.1%15 W · 56 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	+13%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5898…3dd9backed Yes	5c	205.91$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.22	61	11.5%7 W · 54 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-27%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x53ad…872bbacked Yes	9c	200$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.4	41	9.8%4 W · 37 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ccd…5330backed Yes	8c	200$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.6	191	20.4%39 W · 152 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8848…b9e2backed Yes	11c	185.28$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-64.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84dc…7367backed Yes	8c	126.79$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	39	15.4%6 W · 33 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event