Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d3973a4de88a8d6635637cd5de0c1d62e3850a65dbd19f0d1230221865d20a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,151,832
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $605,983
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,151,832 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x39de…a94bbacked Yes | 1c | 44,244$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…4009backed Yes | 1c | 41,737$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.44 | 1,782 | 7.4%132 W · 1,650 L | -23.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 0c | 35,722$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.52 | 1,625 | 1.9%31 W · 1,594 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe37b…0e27backed Yes | 0c | 31,135$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.91 | 64 | 17.2%11 W · 53 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb0…4c27backed Yes | 0c | 28,000$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 504 | 5.2%26 W · 478 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99b3…56eebacked Yes | 0c | 23,026$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -87.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90bb…531fbacked Yes | 0c | 21,139$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.14 | 129 | 0.8%1 W · 128 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +675.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x285a…fd1bbacked Yes | 0c | 20,562$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 136 | 0.7%1 W · 135 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +635.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf4…a4debacked Yes | 0c | 19,593$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…7a65backed Yes | 1c | 14,559$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…c19dbacked Yes | 0c | 13,334$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 274 | 0.4%1 W · 273 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | +257.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…0541backed Yes | 0c | 12,724$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cea…f8dfbacked Yes | 0c | 12,672$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ac6abacked Yes | 0c | 12,496$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.26 | 60 | 16.7%10 W · 50 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fe…66f5backed Yes | 0c | 11,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78cf…ec87backed Yes | 1c | 9,965$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3256…830cbacked Yes | 0c | 9,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 782 | 8.7%68 W · 714 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 1c | 8,770$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.23 | 186 | 8.6%16 W · 170 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes | 0c | 8,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 480 | 6.9%33 W · 447 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 7,846$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.08 | 2,163 | 3.9%85 W · 2,078 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc77c…1f1bbacked Yes | 0c | 7,504$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f8…98e1backed Yes | 0c | 7,366$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 218 | 18.3%40 W · 178 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbb…28c0backed Yes | 0c | 7,340$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 1c | 7,198$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1,053 | 5.6%59 W · 994 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…3493backed Yes | 0c | 7,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,067 | 8.3%89 W · 978 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…9c64backed Yes | 0c | 6,228$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e2…fb46backed Yes | 2c | 6,068$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 1c | 5,449$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.32 | 491 | 6.7%33 W · 458 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 1c | 5,363$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 259 | 5.4%14 W · 245 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf55e…0c66backed Yes | 0c | 5,213$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.27 | 265 | 8.7%23 W · 242 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c0…547ebacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x875d…acf2backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…6591backed Yes | 1c | 4,530$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.12 | 235 | 9.4%22 W · 213 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 1c | 4,282$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 211 | 4.7%10 W · 201 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 2c | 3,925$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.92 | 796 | 6.5%52 W · 744 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 1c | 3,683$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.27 | 730 | 4.5%33 W · 697 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 1c | 3,409$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 691 | 5.5%38 W · 653 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54c0…a338backed Yes | 2c | 3,162$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 364 | 4.7%17 W · 347 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | +98.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…c866backed Yes | 1c | 3,038$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.88 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc15a…4514backed Yes | 1c | 2,967$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +253.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa355…99dabacked Yes | 1c | 2,905$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a26…1b7dbacked Yes | 0c | 2,872$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9da8…4dd2backed Yes | 0c | 2,614$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 6cpaid | +452.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…133dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,523$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4449…e977backed Yes | 1c | 2,401$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 590 | 9.2%54 W · 536 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad2…e985backed Yes | 1c | 2,294$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 148 | 8.8%13 W · 135 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19e2…b92cbacked Yes | 0c | 2,004$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d38…d383backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 71 | 21.1%15 W · 56 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c78…3846backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…451cbacked Yes | 2c | 2,000$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 158 | 12%19 W · 139 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x071d…07efbacked Yes | 1c | 1,895$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 1,038 | 11.1%115 W · 923 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf887…92acbacked Yes | 2c | 1,871$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77e3…06a9backed Yes | 1c | 1,839$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6189…8f69backed Yes | 1c | 1,767$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c6…5529backed Yes | 1c | 1,759$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 3.2%1 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb1…b2b3backed Yes | 1c | 1,722$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 51 | 2%1 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +107.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4931…6396backed Yes | 1c | 1,674$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf89…a739backed Yes | 1c | 1,669$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 107 | 15.9%17 W · 90 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204b…f3c9backed Yes | 1c | 1,431$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c25…8d52backed Yes | 1c | 1,345$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 194 | 8.8%17 W · 177 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61a3…b1e5backed Yes | 2c | 1,280$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 6.1%4 W · 62 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes | 1c | 1,050$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 559 | 8.2%46 W · 513 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9b…67e6backed Yes | 1c | 1,046$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc93e…7195backed Yes | 1c | 1,006$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…ca30backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe35a…56debacked Yes | 1c | 817.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 8cpaid | +91.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abe…488dbacked Yes | 2c | 779.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -82.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa3…b307backed Yes | 2c | 759.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x467e…7871backed Yes | 1c | 750$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b8…5a0fbacked Yes | 2c | 712.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 601 | 27.3%164 W · 437 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5824…000ebacked Yes | 2c | 619.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -40%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xace5…4457backed Yes | 2c | 500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 3cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 3c | 407.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 434 | 5.1%22 W · 412 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?Yes won
- Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 620-639 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 660-679 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 680-699 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 700-719 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 720-739 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 740+ tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.