Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Telstar 1963 win on 2026-02-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xefdad78d1a803c930a555b9d4d08b94d21efacb278e12c9bea3aebcbdb006e46
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $93,465
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $129,962
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,465 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 7c | 17,534$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,221.46 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 6c | 10,339$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.32 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd829…95f9backed Yes | 8c | 4,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 1c | 3,220$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.14 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecb…a693backed Yes | 1c | 2,033$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 7c | 1,984$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.69 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 11c | 1,239$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.14 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 16c | 1,203$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.51 | 275 | 42.5%117 W · 158 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 6c | 989.8$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.31 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 6c | 635.34$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.12 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 6c | 543.37$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.26 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yes | 6c | 525.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…2e4ebacked Yes | 4c | 524.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 7c | 442.12$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.97 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d59…811bbacked Yes | 6c | 330$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 15c | 326.62$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d6…0550backed Yes | 6c | 325.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23de…05c1backed Yes | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 8c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 570 | 19.8%113 W · 457 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7178…4052backed Yes | 8c | 133.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb16…0852backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 16.7%11 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8210…afdfbacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 86 | 19.8%17 W · 69 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 17c | 65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d97…9498backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…0c64backed No | 76c | 19.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Telstar 1963 win on 2026-02-22?this page
- Will Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Telstar 1963 end in a draw?No won
- Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-02-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.