Lol · resolved market
LoL: LYON vs Dignitas (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b95e4d85d89a2aa406d7bc683e9b8bb8c7d2b16ee3b44878a36d4e79eeb20ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LYONof LYON, Dignitas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $161,262
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $192,652
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $161,262 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f67…4dd8backed Dignitas | 15c | 55,800$8,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,359.98 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Dignitas | 5c | 38,888$1,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,944.4 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Dignitas | 14c | 4,095$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.73 | 1,158 | 42.6%493 W · 665 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Dignitas | 15c | 3,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 460 | 33.9%156 W · 304 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d4…38d6backed Dignitas | 4c | 2,924$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.81 | 207 | 2.9%6 W · 201 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Dignitas | 15c | 2,706$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.9 | 175 | 37.1%65 W · 110 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecb…a693backed Dignitas | 1c | 1,911$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed Dignitas | 6c | 1,787$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.21 | 1,130 | 30%339 W · 791 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Dignitas | 11c | 1,628$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.06 | 675 | 52.4%354 W · 321 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Dignitas | 14c | 1,500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.99 | 771 | 31.8%245 W · 526 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Dignitas | 17c | 999.92$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.99 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Dignitas | 15c | 693$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.6 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Dignitas | 16c | 287.49$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Dignitas | 15c | 228$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Dignitas | 5c | 224$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20b2…f114backed Dignitas | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 275 | 35.3%97 W · 178 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb275…c76fbacked Dignitas | 15c | 133.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 192 | 44.3%85 W · 107 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5b…1008backed Dignitas | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb861…27ffbacked Dignitas | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 130 | 40.8%53 W · 77 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Dignitas | 13c | 105$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 218 | 36.7%80 W · 138 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf386…9b3fbacked Dignitas | 16c | 102.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf360…6726backed Dignitas | 15c | 97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e65…b9f2backed Dignitas | 14c | 88.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Dignitas | 16c | 87.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 193 | 39.9%77 W · 116 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…67f5backed Dignitas | 21c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: LYON vs Dignitas (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group Stagethis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: LYON vs Dignitas - Game 1 WinnerLYON won
- LoL: LYON vs Dignitas - Game 2 WinnerLYON won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.