TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: LYON vs Dignitas - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
LYONof LYON, Dignitas
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$210,672
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$234,873

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $210,672 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x671f…328cbacked Dignitas10c57,000$5,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,8406040%24 W · 36 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c38…1218backed LYON68c26,812$18,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,520.121448.1%103 W · 111 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Dignitas33c13,053$4,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,283.281,25937.6%473 W · 786 L+34.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Dignitas30c9,566$2,838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,837.61,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1d4…38d6backed Dignitas8c7,777$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.162072.9%6 W · 201 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-75.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Dignitas33c5,000$1,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,655.5295041.6%395 W · 555 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Dignitas14c3,741$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.2141644.2%184 W · 232 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00df…0d23backed LYON43c3,441$1,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,964.269852%51 W · 47 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x762d…45a6backed Dignitas38c3,381$1,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,281.8918741.2%77 W · 110 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Dignitas15c3,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4503,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Dignitas47c2,358$1,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,117.891,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4b7…3c8bbacked Dignitas49c1,750$858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$857.511454.4%62 W · 52 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Dignitas45c1,249$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.7885046%391 W · 459 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b75…3fd1backed Dignitas28c1,227$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.8994134.5%325 W · 616 L+33.6wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bcb…b05abacked Dignitas70c1,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70023751.5%122 W · 115 L+11.7wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x58f8…dc70backed LYON80c1,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20040370.2%283 W · 120 L+31.3wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+9.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8f81…5410backed Dignitas1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10390%0 W · 39 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fbc…62a3backed LYON61c899.99$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.8163161.2%386 W · 245 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f84…202ebacked Dignitas36c833.33$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30095847.6%456 W · 502 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda16…ac2bbacked Dignitas14c807.66$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11215147%71 W · 80 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe8c…9e9ebacked LYON32c777.93$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.2217839.3%70 W · 108 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x78fa…d5c3backed Dignitas14c721.43$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10111443%49 W · 65 L+9.1wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+27.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb2ed…2a85backed Dignitas10c699.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7086758.1%504 W · 363 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0588…8f18backed Dignitas49c683.12$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.725038%95 W · 155 L+20.2wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+25.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked LYON79c617$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.881,15842.6%493 W · 665 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x663b…6a3ebacked LYON69c607.75$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc080…ef26backed Dignitas69c577.45$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003622.2%8 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-33.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked LYON67c569.12$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.122,82541.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L-14.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc4d1…3d4cbacked Dignitas12c535.71$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6530421.4%65 W · 239 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick20cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fbd…c4e4backed LYON36c530.29$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.6852538.9%204 W · 321 L+18.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cf3…eb8ebacked Dignitas14c526.91$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.7717826.4%47 W · 131 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-17.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Dignitas52c425.51$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.9560053.2%319 W · 281 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Dignitas13c405.28$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.91,25838.6%485 W · 773 L-61.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xde2a…6bfebacked Dignitas10c400$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4072234.1%246 W · 476 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fd1…17ccbacked Dignitas31c382.86$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.3460124.1%145 W · 456 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3c7…2b66backed Dignitas12c368.36$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449042.2%38 W · 52 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Dignitas21c352.64$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.951,31037.3%489 W · 821 L-86.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-26.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2849…0cd8backed LYON68c323.79$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.795263.5%33 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe625…94c0backed Dignitas34c310.66$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.9274344%327 W · 416 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cdf…cbd9backed Dignitas22c308$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.623737.8%14 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf06…c9ffbacked Dignitas39c307.18$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12063352%329 W · 304 L+39.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+22.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9bd5…6428backed Dignitas15c306.67$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e91…ea34backed LYON66c300$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10250569.9%353 W · 152 L+15.1wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd43f…0bb0backed LYON32c300$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2041,13030%339 W · 791 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Dignitas70c300$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21018241.8%76 W · 106 L-0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed Dignitas48c286.6$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.3154944.4%244 W · 305 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65ac…2feebacked Dignitas67c285.99$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.6114751.7%76 W · 71 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cd9…2a08backed Dignitas14c267.14$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.439239%153 W · 239 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18f5…001dbacked Dignitas16c244.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.651330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-53.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6c7…943fbacked Dignitas32c244.01$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fb0…c4efbacked Dignitas64c219.67$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.931258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid-3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0c8…97b4backed Dignitas34c200$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6867763.4%429 W · 248 L-16.4wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4425…12efbacked Dignitas48c195$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.216540.6%67 W · 98 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93f7…02d5backed Dignitas15c166.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-35.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Dignitas43c150$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.2370443.9%309 W · 395 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7a2…442dbacked Dignitas46c141.88$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Dignitas48c125$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.1550643.1%218 W · 288 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc793…59ecbacked Dignitas66c110.01$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.553938.5%15 W · 24 L-5.5wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-28.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa0e9…c21ebacked Dignitas14c109.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.44729.8%14 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid+10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Dignitas19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1939044.9%175 W · 215 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3333…3c23backed Dignitas58c98.28$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5728042.5%119 W · 161 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8e8…ef2bbacked Dignitas59c92.27$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.4464556.6%365 W · 280 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a89…196fbacked LYON52c76.72$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.721861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8986…b357backed Dignitas70c71.43$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid+9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffbf…1184backed LYON75c67.76$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9428759.9%172 W · 115 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dc2…3907backed Dignitas64c62.32$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick50cpaid-74.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7730…df57backed Dignitas49c60.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.658051.3%41 W · 39 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4b2…4ab2backed LYON42c60$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.966445.6%303 W · 361 L+14.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b39…294abacked LYON70c60$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Dignitas32c55$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.62,31139.4%910 W · 1,401 L-83.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0b0…ad2cbacked Dignitas41c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.63743.2%16 W · 21 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5de3…b2d2backed Dignitas33c45.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.85250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa081…608ebacked Dignitas61c42.86$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.18per pick54cpaid-50.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4b95…b23ebacked Dignitas30c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.11,02445%461 W · 563 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd71a…67f5backed LYON66c39.5$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.562055%11 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6271…4ac6backed Dignitas42c38.97$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.427349.3%36 W · 37 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f92…c778backed Dignitas70c35.71$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf104…d34cbacked Dignitas46c31.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5512042.5%51 W · 69 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5624…b5c4backed LYON65c30.88$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8828851%147 W · 141 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cbc…5dfcbacked Dignitas70c29$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.34770.2%33 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3162…419bbacked Dignitas70c28.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-63.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc393…590abacked LYON52c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127255.6%40 W · 32 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.