Lol · resolved market
LoL: LYON vs Dignitas - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x425351f3d4713b9db2c15a80e1e75a2acf893b5495cc2e694095070137509329
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LYONof LYON, Dignitas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,293
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $103,533
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,293 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd3c7…2b66backed Dignitas | 1c | 7,599$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.12 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Dignitas | 18c | 5,304$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.99 | 1,158 | 42.6%493 W · 665 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa941…ec2ebacked LYON | 78c | 4,150$3,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.96 | 511 | 60.3%308 W · 203 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Dignitas | 3c | 2,859$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.76 | 811 | 43.5%353 W · 458 L | +30.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Dignitas | 23c | 2,563$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.32 | 262 | 46.6%122 W · 140 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cfe…2fd8backed Dignitas | 1c | 2,487$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8c…9e9ebacked Dignitas | 10c | 1,771$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.55 | 178 | 39.3%70 W · 108 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked LYON | 77c | 1,299$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.77 | 274 | 47.8%131 W · 143 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…ac2bbacked Dignitas | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Dignitas | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed LYON | 77c | 836.15$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.85 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Dignitas | 13c | 750$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,259 | 37.6%473 W · 786 L | +34.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…a183backed Dignitas | 6c | 500$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1,213 | 52.3%635 W · 578 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93f7…02d5backed Dignitas | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed LYON | 80c | 463.32$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.66 | 600 | 53.2%319 W · 281 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf094…5290backed Dignitas | 5c | 422$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d1…3d4cbacked Dignitas | 14c | 348.53$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 304 | 21.4%65 W · 239 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff2…bfb4backed Dignitas | 5c | 304.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0535…75ccbacked Dignitas | 18c | 230$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 1,009 | 49.2%496 W · 513 L | +30.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd1…17ccbacked Dignitas | 7c | 199.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 601 | 24.1%145 W · 456 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Dignitas | 19c | 176.85$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 390 | 44.9%175 W · 215 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Dignitas | 9c | 157.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e9…c21ebacked Dignitas | 22c | 150$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Dignitas | 14c | 110$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 392 | 39%153 W · 239 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf26b…f3b8backed Dignitas | 19c | 105.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 289 | 23.5%68 W · 221 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f53…4a36backed Dignitas | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…9a3bbacked LYON | 80c | 31.48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd066…9eecbacked LYON | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: LYON vs Dignitas - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: LYON vs Dignitas (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group StageLYON won
- LoL: LYON vs Dignitas - Game 2 WinnerLYON won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.