Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Portland State Vikings vs. Idaho State Bengals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22b5872b30d5131272f8d30009fa2e3350f051f35067f477d3fbc52d217b1910
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Portland State Vikingsof Portland State Vikings, Idaho State Bengals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,396
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,842
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,396 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9ecb…a693backed Idaho State Bengals | 0c | 3,570$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Idaho State Bengals | 63c | 3,186$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 160 | 56.9%91 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Portland State Vikings | 37c | 2,271$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,429.68 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Idaho State Bengals | 32c | 1,490$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.86 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Idaho State Bengals | 39c | 1,454$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.99 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Idaho State Bengals | 27c | 1,350$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.8 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Portland State Vikings | 10c | 1,349$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.87 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Portland State Vikings | 65c | 1,319$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.27 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Idaho State Bengals | 1c | 1,316$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 399 | 3.3%13 W · 386 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Portland State Vikings | 8c | 728.98$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.66 | 140 | 21.4%30 W · 110 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Portland State Vikings | 37c | 718.67$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.77 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Idaho State Bengals | 7c | 699.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 160 | 8.1%13 W · 147 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Portland State Vikings | 30c | 501.05$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.1 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Portland State Vikings | 37c | 500$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Portland State Vikings | 8c | 438.66$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.68 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Portland State Vikings | 38c | 375$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.5 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Idaho State Bengals | 17c | 361.93$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.63 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Portland State Vikings | 38c | 297.05$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.17 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Portland State Vikings | 46c | 252.09$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.63 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Portland State Vikings | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8307…ad90backed Idaho State Bengals | 10c | 200$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 104 | 8.7%9 W · 95 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…669fbacked Idaho State Bengals | 17c | 150$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 88 | 14.8%13 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x708d…8a09backed Portland State Vikings | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.86 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Idaho State Bengals | 35c | 126.5$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.28 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Idaho State Bengals | 57c | 113.17$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.38 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Idaho State Bengals | 55c | 93.87$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.54 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Portland State Vikings | 45c | 51.11$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Portland State Vikings | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Portland State Vikings | 38c | 39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.18 | 490 | 43.1%211 W · 279 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Idaho State Bengals | 47c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe7…8b77backed Idaho State Bengals | 62c | 31.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Portland State Vikings | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf702…7cc8backed Idaho State Bengals | 64c | 21.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Idaho State Bengals | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Idaho State Bengals | 57c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Portland State Vikings vs. Idaho State Bengalsthis page
- Portland State Vikings vs. Idaho State Bengals: O/U 144.5Over won
- Portland State Vikings vs. Idaho State Bengals: O/U 146.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.