Premier League · resolved market
Will Leicester win on 2024-12-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e53141b9fbd3997bb97f16d24b2a23970c29bb9ecad9d347e31f0f77dfd237e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,330
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,928
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,330 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 3c | 7,000$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 4c | 5,516$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.9 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 8c | 5,213$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.4 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xda4d…c8eebacked Yes | 0c | 5,100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +301.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 4c | 5,000$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.25 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Yes | 4c | 4,214$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.04 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 1c | 4,205$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x573d…3507backed Yes | 3c | 3,027$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 4c | 3,000$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 5c | 2,289$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.43 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcac2…d644backed Yes | 4c | 2,020$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.71 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Yes | 4c | 1,770$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.75 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Yes | 13c | 1,595$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.3 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b74…a4f4backed Yes | 4c | 1,426$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa265…bd3ebacked Yes | 18c | 1,364$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29da…4d30backed Yes | 7c | 1,000$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…1102backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Yes | 8c | 999.22$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.94 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01dc…475cbacked Yes | 4c | 902.44$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7432…794bbacked Yes | 4c | 900.83$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.7 | 119 | 37%44 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd49a…b364backed Yes | 4c | 880.32$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.55 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d53…0644backed Yes | 14c | 761.24$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.85 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2e…f1c7backed Yes | 4c | 694.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Yes | 4c | 554.36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.18 | 126 | 23%29 W · 97 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Yes | 2c | 512.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa89f…cb86backed Yes | 4c | 506.24$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 12c | 474.61$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 229 | 32.3%74 W · 155 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4009…f2b4backed Yes | 13c | 427.67$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5670…e99dbacked Yes | 15c | 404.25$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes | 4c | 400$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 119 | 15.1%18 W · 101 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x81e1…7265backed Yes | 4c | 400$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5272…f0afbacked Yes | 4c | 379.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 79c | 362.62$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.15 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96e3…83d2backed Yes | 3c | 312.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…9702backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb680…c893backed Yes | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x964b…167abacked Yes | 14c | 285.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8864…cd68backed Yes | 4c | 243.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47ee…a079backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb220…51bdbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Yes | 15c | 163.27$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3da…0088backed Yes | 16c | 155$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 197 | 43.7%86 W · 111 L | +32.4wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8b29…d0a8backed Yes | 15c | 126.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf847…aa05backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecb…a693backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e20…3051backed Yes | 17c | 73.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3700…a35ebacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Leicester win on 2024-12-26?this page
- Will Liverpool vs. Leicester end in a draw?No won
- Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-26?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.