Premier League · resolved market
Will Liverpool vs. Leicester end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55ea4053803057924c7b2b236e6576bd54639387d344b7b714b96556470dbede
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,203
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,333
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,203 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 1c | 6,531$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.04 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 8c | 3,825$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Yes | 18c | 1,455$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -12.7wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbba9…6baabacked Yes | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yes | 16c | 889.33$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.92 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Yes | 6c | 739.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…d711backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x483e…2d6bbacked Yes | 17c | 605.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x964b…167abacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x573d…3507backed Yes | 15c | 500$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 4c | 435$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…9702backed Yes | 17c | 411.76$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf467…0f59backed Yes | 4c | 393.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa64a…21dabacked Yes | 18c | 335.89$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.02 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a09…4a9ebacked Yes | 21c | 317.24$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.62 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc745…9499backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 256 | 37.9%97 W · 159 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5670…e99dbacked Yes | 19c | 230.9$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb54e…8f34backed Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f5…0050backed Yes | 7c | 162.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 18cpaid | +91.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06be…8a46backed Yes | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -6.4wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -42%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd3…06a8backed Yes | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff9…e494backed Yes | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea27…8a0bbacked Yes | 8c | 130$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xae59…761fbacked Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3aab…c911backed Yes | 18c | 113.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6743…4ccbbacked Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…d68fbacked Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…e32abacked Yes | 14c | 99.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3937…f693backed Yes | 20c | 52.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Liverpool vs. Leicester end in a draw?this page
- Will Leicester win on 2024-12-26?No won
- Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-26?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.