Premier League · resolved market
Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd16d0f8d0ee66f4ada469d010c359e5b12b115553336a6136ef6d88a556ae15
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $150,730
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $174,896
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $150,730 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 24c | 28,330$6,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,700.33 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed No | 11c | 12,369$1,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360.62 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 8c | 9,741$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.26 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Yes | 74c | 9,527$7,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,451.66 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 19c | 8,460$1,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,567.47 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked Yes | 80c | 6,296$5,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,273.74 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3e…b656backed No | 10c | 4,920$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…bdbdbacked Yes | 75c | 3,862$2,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.45 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…5ca9backed Yes | 67c | 3,620$2,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.68 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b74…a4f4backed No | 13c | 3,479$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.14 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…2427backed No | 9c | 3,360$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.19 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 10c | 3,073$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.08 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7174…d302backed No | 10c | 2,935$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed No | 10c | 2,670$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -29%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 9c | 2,447$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.78 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 5c | 1,735$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.73 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd95…99f2backed Yes | 78c | 1,509$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…a6abbacked No | 10c | 1,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…2da4backed No | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ebf…83cebacked No | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.76 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +426.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 19c | 999.87$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.78 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x728f…11ecbacked No | 23c | 947.83$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 20c | 937.28$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.49 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdd…64a7backed No | 10c | 924.35$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed No | 10c | 769.02$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.9 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed No | 25c | 689.64$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.41 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…cae9backed No | 40c | 514.45$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa22b…3525backed No | 10c | 503.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e1…7265backed No | 10c | 499.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ffd…05f6backed Yes | 70c | 420$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +132.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 13c | 386$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.18 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Yes | 69c | 378.14$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.06 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 31c | 373.55$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.63 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 9c | 367$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.03 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72d6…1c32backed No | 7c | 313.69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 33c | 299.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.2 | 129 | 59.7%77 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f50…214dbacked No | 25c | 264.44$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2e…f1c7backed No | 10c | 251.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.13 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked No | 13c | 250$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.05 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked No | 26c | 250$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f16…5bb0backed No | 26c | 228.35$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.94 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c4…e867backed No | 10c | 207.07$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3add…11b5backed No | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 253 | 39.1%99 W · 154 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb680…c893backed No | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd91c…71f4backed Yes | 66c | 190.56$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70de…a1f3backed No | 11c | 182$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4527…09a0backed No | 11c | 173.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed No | 33c | 170.5$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.01 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed No | 11c | 164$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 126 | 23%29 W · 97 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc269…927dbacked No | 28c | 162.82$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa786…0d36backed No | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x184d…0a71backed No | 24c | 131.58$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…ddd7backed Yes | 66c | 121.21$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.21 | 90 | 27.8%25 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6956…c37fbacked No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5272…f0afbacked No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce2f…09a9backed No | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe26c…c7b2backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8794…e6b3backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48e…8f7dbacked No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…521cbacked No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x578a…ef44backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6994…fc1fbacked Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed No | 20c | 81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…ff34backed No | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92f4…6363backed No | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3025…fccdbacked Yes | 66c | 71.86$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…4657backed Yes | 77c | 71.43$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3700…a35ebacked Yes | 76c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3da…0088backed Yes | 76c | 55.51$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.59 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd271…fc9abacked Yes | 74c | 45.95$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Yes | 66c | 30.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf1…384dbacked Yes | 80c | 24.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5afc…ba0bbacked Yes | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.26per pick | 65cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…0badbacked Yes | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-26?this page
- Will Leicester win on 2024-12-26?No won
- Will Liverpool vs. Leicester end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.