CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: M1X KS vs NIP (BO3) - RES Showdown Spring Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b0c7e568fe9ef70901bb09e4152edb74c0ed2742e58e90d62b69dcb7803e98c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NIPof M1X KS, NIP
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,262
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,398
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,262 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef26…05babacked M1X KS | 45c | 4,851$2,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,177.98 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…251cbacked NIP | 55c | 4,362$2,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,962.98 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed NIP | 62c | 2,762$1,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.6 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked NIP | 52c | 2,139$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.57 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x213f…1da2backed M1X KS | 48c | 1,444$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked M1X KS | 44c | 1,212$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.09 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed M1X KS | 21c | 919.12$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.37 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed NIP | 80c | 650$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a3…9a3bbacked M1X KS | 31c | 646.65$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed M1X KS | 17c | 400$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…d587backed M1X KS | 10c | 335.45$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.54 | 350 | 33.4%117 W · 233 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed M1X KS | 18c | 308.89$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.05 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed M1X KS | 46c | 284.75$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.01 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f61…67ebbacked M1X KS | 46c | 249.93$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.47 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed M1X KS | 48c | 179.49$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.96 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked M1X KS | 14c | 124.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 110 | 2.7%3 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -70%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed NIP | 77c | 104.12$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.12 | 228 | 43.9%100 W · 128 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecb…a693backed M1X KS | 11c | 95.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed NIP | 53c | 66.64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.32 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ad…683fbacked M1X KS | 48c | 60.42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 355 | 50.1%178 W · 177 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked M1X KS | 45c | 33.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 596 | 47.3%282 W · 314 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe291…c2c9backed NIP | 60c | 26.68$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 67 | 65.7%44 W · 23 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabd5…93f2backed NIP | 79c | 21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: M1X KS vs NIP (BO3) - RES Showdown Spring Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: M1X KS vs NIP - Map 1 WinnerNIP won
- Counter-Strike: M1X KS vs NIP - Map 2 WinnerM1X KS won
- Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs M1X KS (+1.5)M1X KS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.