Cricket · resolved market
Will the match end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x544f1580282fac2fefdb5dff5640ec16aebd295a8b6b3a73c49214e2b7e289e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,228
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,261
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,228 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6fc3…e92ebacked Yes | 2c | 3,746$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,689.81 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +273%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 62c | 3,475$2,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,147.86 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc3…edf0backed Yes | 3c | 3,162$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,058.02 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 32cpaid | +321.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked Yes | 72c | 2,733$1,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.34 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93b1…2c4ebacked Yes | 10c | 1,676$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508.82 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecb…a693backed Yes | 3c | 1,456$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,418.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 2cpaid | +876.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1e…0cd2backed Yes | 31c | 1,445$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.44 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf2…5803backed Yes | 6c | 835.71$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.01 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +174.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x321f…9d9dbacked Yes | 5c | 637.96$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.95per pick | 5cpaid | +1,948%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00da…2fe4backed Yes | 3c | 599.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.99 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +109.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 3c | 551.79$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.43 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 5cpaid | +456.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe39f…82e8backed Yes | 5c | 514.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.6 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +128.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Yes | 5c | 499.71$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.48 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44c3…5cc1backed Yes | 3c | 491.37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.37 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3fc…1e14backed Yes | 6c | 355.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.31 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +400.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…2134backed Yes | 6c | 348$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328 | 125 | 34.4%43 W · 82 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…c48dbacked Yes | 10c | 335$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.06 | 299 | 32.4%97 W · 202 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6acd…07babacked Yes | 42c | 331.48$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.59 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…db3ebacked Yes | 64c | 328.52$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.49 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Yes | 4c | 313.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.49 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Yes | 5c | 282.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.27 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef46…f872backed Yes | 6c | 238.66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.47 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…be34backed Yes | 5c | 218.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.13 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1599…a8b6backed Yes | 9c | 212.63$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.85 | 323 | 37.2%120 W · 203 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x251a…79bdbacked Yes | 10c | 204.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.90per pick | 10cpaid | +923.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef73…7db3backed Yes | 6c | 161.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.3 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 15c | 150$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 10c | 149.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.98 | 111 | 6.3%7 W · 104 L | -18.9wins | -0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b0…69cabacked Yes | 56c | 143.52$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.43 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb4…f28cbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 7cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7c…25eebacked Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.27 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 29cpaid | +167.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x612f…bdefbacked Yes | 22c | 83.59$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.45 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b55…be47backed Yes | 31c | 68.26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6416…18d7backed Yes | 22c | 52.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.11 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 34c | 51.37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.12 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed4…3ff6backed Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x935e…d6e4backed Yes | 36c | 34.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.83 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -6.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfdcf…c8bebacked No | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the match end in a draw?this page
- Will New Zealand win?No won
- Will West Indies win?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.