Cricket · resolved market
Will New Zealand win?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x865a4eca913bc616d47f45592e4007ee62651145bd59a298fcd2dcc7e378afe0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $113,458
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $127,821
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,458 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 10c | 10,820$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,726.77 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd21…efdbbacked Yes | 60c | 5,282$3,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,154.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 4c | 1,981$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,897.12 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 5c | 1,685$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,608.01 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 5cpaid | +456.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2d…2ed2backed Yes | 5c | 1,500$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 17c | 1,376$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.68 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6acd…07babacked Yes | 67c | 1,092$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.79 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6d…b3febacked No | 4c | 1,036$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.21 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +248.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5e…1f34backed Yes | 1c | 1,012$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…9bc4backed No | 10c | 924.47$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.83 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 11c | 917.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.35 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +53%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1e…0cd2backed No | 78c | 822.96$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.05 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x710d…23edbacked No | 2c | 807.18$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +2,310.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 12c | 759.97$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.73 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6673…8a4cbacked No | 16c | 731.74$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.66 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa69b…7b0cbacked Yes | 77c | 692.25$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.74 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +20.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb94f…04d8backed No | 2c | 567.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 1cpaid | +1,267.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7408…cf2ebacked Yes | 77c | 534$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.48 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x442d…523ebacked No | 5c | 520.25$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 5cpaid | +537.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8efc…478fbacked No | 5c | 400$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.95per pick | 5cpaid | +1,900%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x098f…47cdbacked No | 12c | 311.28$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +213%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8c…ad4bbacked No | 17c | 296.98$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.16 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +198.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…eab3backed Yes | 58c | 283.86$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…7e61backed No | 7c | 266.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 7cpaid | +344.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x121e…fcbabacked Yes | 12c | 230$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Yes | 79c | 229.52$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed No | 10c | 152.69$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.04 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +106.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 23c | 149.85$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.12 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91dc…fa3ebacked Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…1521backed Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5f…e612backed Yes | 48c | 88.8$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…da75backed No | 20c | 75.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.01 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0d…570abacked Yes | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee1…9801backed No | 18c | 66.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.53 | 132 | 27.3%36 W · 96 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 17c | 65.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.38 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…3836backed Yes | 79c | 48.1$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x979f…4e13backed No | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…c3c9backed Yes | 80c | 40$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x045e…e60abacked Yes | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66a5…729bbacked Yes | 80c | 34.53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd9…2bf9backed Yes | 79c | 30.22$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x100b…b67abacked Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93f0…8b02backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe93f…8239backed Yes | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd284…e57bbacked Yes | 69c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0792…6c40backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will New Zealand win?this page
- Will West Indies win?No won
- Will the match end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.