Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs L1ga Team (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x458acbccf47af6c7b33ac3426d85bc58cfe5c5f367299232553582ade615a8f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- L1ga Teamof Yellow Submarine, L1ga Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,625
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $95,854
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,625 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yellow Submarine | 5c | 7,370$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.11 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…5695backed Yellow Submarine | 28c | 3,817$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.32 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Yellow Submarine | 13c | 3,123$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.03 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8e…349fbacked L1ga Team | 78c | 2,739$2,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.77 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yellow Submarine | 46c | 2,132$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.35 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f47…d0a3backed Yellow Submarine | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yellow Submarine | 14c | 1,450$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc36b…a540backed Yellow Submarine | 17c | 1,219$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.01 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecb…a693backed Yellow Submarine | 3c | 1,165$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.87 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Yellow Submarine | 10c | 1,114$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.6 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Yellow Submarine | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5520…32ffbacked Yellow Submarine | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yellow Submarine | 22c | 968.85$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.61 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…2e0cbacked L1ga Team | 58c | 822.4$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x783f…631bbacked Yellow Submarine | 42c | 799.3$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Yellow Submarine | 13c | 760$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Yellow Submarine | 39c | 750$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.7 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked L1ga Team | 73c | 675.42$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.77 | 166 | 65.7%109 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…76c3backed L1ga Team | 73c | 630.2$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.02 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -8.0wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x46fe…a43dbacked L1ga Team | 63c | 556.31$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.31 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Yellow Submarine | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…c872backed Yellow Submarine | 27c | 488.26$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.63 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdac9…56e7backed L1ga Team | 51c | 449.73$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.73 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed L1ga Team | 80c | 448.35$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.67 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb3…d38ebacked L1ga Team | 74c | 426.69$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.14 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -4.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Yellow Submarine | 17c | 352.94$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 235 | 29.4%69 W · 166 L | -21.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked L1ga Team | 60c | 350$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 161 | 55.3%89 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yellow Submarine | 23c | 320.21$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.61 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed L1ga Team | 55c | 320$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed L1ga Team | 62c | 298.66$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.66 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9be…8b35backed Yellow Submarine | 38c | 264.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Yellow Submarine | 42c | 222.64$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 173 | 42.8%74 W · 99 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfce…b388backed L1ga Team | 55c | 210.36$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.66 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked Yellow Submarine | 26c | 200$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…dda0backed L1ga Team | 63c | 191.71$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.75 | 292 | 45.9%134 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Yellow Submarine | 17c | 173$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.41 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf987…6ea7backed Yellow Submarine | 17c | 172.48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed L1ga Team | 56c | 172.11$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.73 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5f…7fbfbacked L1ga Team | 59c | 169.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.69 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd45b…58f5backed L1ga Team | 65c | 154.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.62 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Yellow Submarine | 27c | 150$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…e2c1backed Yellow Submarine | 52c | 145$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yellow Submarine | 17c | 131.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.61 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed L1ga Team | 62c | 127.75$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.82 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x854e…8ad8backed L1ga Team | 79c | 126.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2e…b5a5backed Yellow Submarine | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed L1ga Team | 47c | 91.24$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.18 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…c161backed L1ga Team | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Yellow Submarine | 29c | 90$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.36 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0be9…40cbbacked Yellow Submarine | 33c | 75.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…3e4ebacked Yellow Submarine | 17c | 70.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…a50bbacked Yellow Submarine | 29c | 68.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed L1ga Team | 55c | 67.76$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.49 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yellow Submarine | 46c | 64.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.78 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8df…6df7backed Yellow Submarine | 22c | 64.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked L1ga Team | 57c | 60.02$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.51 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yellow Submarine | 26c | 51.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 204 | 57.8%118 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1460…5365backed Yellow Submarine | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed L1ga Team | 64c | 45.66$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…4f34backed Yellow Submarine | 33c | 42.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed L1ga Team | 59c | 39.16$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.06 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d66…0e16backed Yellow Submarine | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed L1ga Team | 52c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 208 | 38.9%81 W · 127 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed L1ga Team | 57c | 31.02$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.27 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked L1ga Team | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…5557backed Yellow Submarine | 39c | 28.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked L1ga Team | 55c | 27.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed L1ga Team | 71c | 25.55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c0…c6f9backed L1ga Team | 61c | 24.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…4214backed L1ga Team | 60c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69c8…4677backed L1ga Team | 76c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe096…9779backed L1ga Team | 59c | 20.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 60cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2715…de3abacked L1ga Team | 60c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df0…1d17backed L1ga Team | 77c | 13.57$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.12 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs L1ga Team (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs L1ga Team - Game 1 WinnerL1ga Team won
- Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs L1ga Team - Game 2 WinnerL1ga Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.