Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: SC Freiburg (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7dd7d740028211d420352acc4a50c4ccf24dcf8e17daf58ebaa48348a9b6017
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SC Freiburgof SC Freiburg, KRC Genk
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,908
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,908 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed SC Freiburg | 46c | 1,559$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.9 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked KRC Genk | 64c | 1,516$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.69 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked KRC Genk | 61c | 730.84$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.9 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed SC Freiburg | 35c | 470$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.5 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed KRC Genk | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed KRC Genk | 65c | 300$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed SC Freiburg | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4306…618abacked KRC Genk | 64c | 273.44$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaa…a1a1backed SC Freiburg | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed SC Freiburg | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked SC Freiburg | 35c | 250$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked KRC Genk | 63c | 238.64$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.14 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked SC Freiburg | 38c | 234.04$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.44 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed SC Freiburg | 36c | 209$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.76 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed SC Freiburg | 37c | 178.44$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.86 | 218 | 35.8%78 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked KRC Genk | 64c | 162$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.68 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked KRC Genk | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked SC Freiburg | 36c | 149.34$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.58 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…c7f7backed SC Freiburg | 37c | 132.43$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.43 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +37%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed SC Freiburg | 35c | 118.46$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed SC Freiburg | 36c | 102$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.28 | 180 | 49.4%89 W · 91 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fad…3ee4backed SC Freiburg | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed SC Freiburg | 38c | 92.11$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.11 | 147 | 33.3%49 W · 98 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed SC Freiburg | 35c | 82.96$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.28 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed KRC Genk | 62c | 73.16$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.41 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0f…c18cbacked SC Freiburg | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 32cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed SC Freiburg | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed KRC Genk | 27c | 46.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 160 | 13.1%21 W · 139 L | -18.8wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -47%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3f02…f85fbacked SC Freiburg | 46c | 45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed SC Freiburg | 35c | 44.65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.02 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed SC Freiburg | 35c | 43.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…800bbacked KRC Genk | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…8f5ebacked KRC Genk | 66c | 36.36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d20…6d2bbacked KRC Genk | 65c | 31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7afb…6f29backed KRC Genk | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed KRC Genk | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…642dbacked KRC Genk | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked KRC Genk | 61c | 20.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 384 | 53.1%204 W · 180 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f21…e36bbacked KRC Genk | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93f8…c1e0backed KRC Genk | 66c | 15.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: SC Freiburg (-1.5)this page
- SC Freiburg vs. KRC Genk: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SC Freiburg vs. KRC Genk: O/U 1.5Over won
- SC Freiburg vs. KRC Genk: O/U 2.5Over won
- SC Freiburg vs. KRC Genk: O/U 3.5Over won
- SC Freiburg vs. KRC Genk: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: SC Freiburg (-2.5)SC Freiburg won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.