Europa Conference League · resolved market
SC Freiburg vs. KRC Genk: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee9465ecdf420140c0f64b5b50e47bfc4f2602eae4c091aad6820f95cfe9d899
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,822
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,822 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 1,601$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.06 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 47c | 1,039$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.07 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9d…f2b3backed Yes | 53c | 1,026$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94c…ba65backed No | 12c | 600$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6da…2b66backed No | 6c | 560$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Yes | 46c | 543.48$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.48 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed No | 48c | 499.99$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 47c | 473.91$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.39 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Yes | 53c | 333$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.51 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Yes | 52c | 287.74$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.74 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked No | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 200 | 56.5%113 W · 87 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb31d…94aebacked Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 46c | 187.23$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.97 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 45c | 161.97$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.2 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf26f…8f93backed No | 12c | 160$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13b5…2c2cbacked Yes | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b54…db07backed Yes | 53c | 141.51$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.51 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe35b…d8d0backed Yes | 53c | 141.51$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.51 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…6592backed No | 46c | 116.57$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 52c | 115.58$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1002…1ef5backed Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +36%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd754…7857backed No | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…15eebacked No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…6599backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x784d…9827backed Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes | 53c | 94.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fca…cfc3backed Yes | 53c | 94.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.19 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 48c | 89.23$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.83 | 218 | 35.8%78 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…7558backed Yes | 53c | 87.85$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.29 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4b…eedfbacked Yes | 55c | 80.25$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.01 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x445c…c4f1backed Yes | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1349…359bbacked Yes | 53c | 70.45$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.11 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 51c | 69.97$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.27 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 49c | 59.53$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.17 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Yes | 56c | 53.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.61 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…19cabacked Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.13 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -4.5wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 47c | 49.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 53c | 49$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 27c | 48.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9e…10bebacked Yes | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…8ca1backed Yes | 53c | 47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.09 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Yes | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 45c | 45.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…cc43backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6af…05c6backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked No | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 96 | 38.5%37 W · 59 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Yes | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 147 | 67.3%99 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…3733backed Yes | 65c | 23.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa220…178dbacked Yes | 53c | 22.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.69 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…6c97backed Yes | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed No | 47c | 22.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06de…5ad6backed Yes | 53c | 18.93$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Freiburg vs. KRC Genk: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- SC Freiburg vs. KRC Genk: O/U 1.5Over won
- SC Freiburg vs. KRC Genk: O/U 2.5Over won
- SC Freiburg vs. KRC Genk: O/U 3.5Over won
- SC Freiburg vs. KRC Genk: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: SC Freiburg (-1.5)SC Freiburg won
- Spread: SC Freiburg (-2.5)SC Freiburg won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.