TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

SC Freiburg vs. KRC Genk: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$58,560
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$67,208

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,560 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8f03…64d6backed Under46c27,702$12,743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,743.041643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over54c6,600$3,558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,041.791950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf58c…4dffbacked Over54c5,212$2,816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,395.952100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb6f…2653backed Over54c4,630$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,129.63771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+33.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6d0…9b55backed Over55c3,636$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,636.361080%8 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+30.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over54c3,300$1,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,51833349.8%166 W · 167 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under47c2,666$1,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,253.0220132.3%65 W · 136 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over56c2,665$1,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,181.733,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc18…2ce9backed Over54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9202245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbce5…02f1backed Over53c999.94$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.971258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+18.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under45c778$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.19858.2%57 W · 41 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed Under2c755.04$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.13732.4%12 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+69%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under33c706.87$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.0770239.3%276 W · 426 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2c8…d506backed Under46c677.63$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.7120%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e2b…ab92backed Over55c632.56$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.792100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+64.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf42d…b35cbacked Over55c600.75$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.342532%8 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over49c510.2$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.24513.3%6 W · 39 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick19cpaid-51.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over54c480$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.811242.9%48 W · 64 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96b4…c2f1backed Over55c454.55$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.554141.5%17 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Under45c454.55$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.557354.8%40 W · 33 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under45c443.49$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.5738247.1%180 W · 202 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under46c399.99$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1844250%21 W · 21 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Under46c394.15$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.134425%11 W · 33 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0666…d31abacked Over54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.373046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca06…1394backed Under46c365.55$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.16425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over54c360$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.62552%13 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…2e75backed Under47c354.28$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb40f…c2f2backed Over54c352.02$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over55c334.4$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.4810941.3%45 W · 64 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Over53c332.99$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.58947.2%42 W · 47 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Under44c300$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1321656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+15.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over56c300$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13221243.9%93 W · 119 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Under47c299.49$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.761747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under46c267.98$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.2718049.4%89 W · 91 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under37c254.57$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.122,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Over53c240.25$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.9211153.2%59 W · 52 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over54c226$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.9652243.9%229 W · 293 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over55c218.18$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.185554.5%30 W · 25 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x14ef…c065backed Under46c215.42$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Over54c187.69$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.3410254.9%56 W · 46 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Over54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.191163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+27.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcce5…7eb2backed Over54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.191060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+23.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1849…8916backed Over55c180$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over55c163.82$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.825554.5%30 W · 25 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5154…ea77backed Under46c158.43$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Under46c153$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.381442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66fe…2fbfbacked Under46c129.28$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick49cpaid-64.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under45c125.99$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.71,02247.5%485 W · 537 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under45c122$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.91,57355.7%876 W · 697 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb253…26febacked Under55c111.58$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.3730%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Over54c108.89$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.0917249.4%85 W · 87 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefff…c0efbacked Under48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c19…859cbacked Over54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47f9…4731backed Over55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451090%9 W · 1 L+3.4wins+0.34per pick56cpaid+67.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdc2d…6f93backed Over55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452920.7%6 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-52.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4588048.2%424 W · 456 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x784d…9827backed Under13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-28.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Under45c95.56$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432540%10 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-34.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3fa…cdb2backed Over55c95$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.751070%7 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+18.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Over54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.599748.5%47 W · 50 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc253…5800backed Over54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.592650%13 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.913327.3%9 W · 24 L-5.8wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-37.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under46c89.61$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.897550.7%38 W · 37 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9734…8f5ebacked Under47c87.23$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-25.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Under46c86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.563231.3%10 W · 22 L-6.2wins-0.19per pick51cpaid-37.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under45c85.32$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3912633.3%42 W · 84 L-21.7wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-45.1%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x88a7…6ab2backed Over55c81.11$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1066…a2cabacked Over55c75.8$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.11333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-39.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.767755.8%43 W · 34 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under46c66$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3613040%52 W · 78 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over54c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.68747.1%41 W · 46 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b7a…3ce8backed Over50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+23.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over68c59.86$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2823461.5%144 W · 90 L+26.7wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+31.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under31c59$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2278344.8%351 W · 432 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Over54c58.35$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8916856.5%95 W · 73 L+0.8wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Over52c57.78$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.783432.4%11 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeca1…57e4backed Over55c56.55$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.22965.5%19 W · 10 L+3.9wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+22.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Under46c54$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.845435.2%19 W · 35 L-8.1wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-31.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Under47c53.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259638.5%37 W · 59 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Over53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.58331.3%26 W · 57 L-9.2wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-30%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xbefe…2d45backed Over70c48.1$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.52837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65b5…a9f7backed Under45c46.48$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.922846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x59f6…2f2ebacked Over54c46.3$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.3366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a89…adebbacked Under46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201050%5 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+45.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Under45c43.42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.544259.5%25 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e0a…745dbacked Under46c43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.781612.5%2 W · 14 L-5.8wins-0.36per pick49cpaid-77.7%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed Under46c43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.782729.6%8 W · 19 L-5.2wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-38.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under45c40.55$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2516543.6%72 W · 93 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Over55c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188351.8%43 W · 40 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c36…e462backed Over55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.36683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick61cpaid+37.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e3d…b56cbacked Over55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.363751.4%19 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f91…6ffcbacked Over55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.36250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdd6…24c5backed Under47c36.06$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Over54c33.33$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.338355.4%46 W · 37 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed Over54c33$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.186546.2%30 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bb7…a3f7backed Over54c32.63$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.01366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+31.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0ab…2c2fbacked Under46c32.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdd4…7696backed Under46c31.02$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.274533.3%15 W · 30 L-5.2wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-26.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over54c30.8$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1517956.4%101 W · 78 L+13.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Under46c29.6$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.627156.3%40 W · 31 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.