TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Olympique de Marseilleof Olympique de Marseille, FC Metz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$61,741
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$79,057

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,741 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37c1…c53abacked FC Metz43c20,664$8,793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,793.426952.2%36 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Olympique de Marseille57c12,818$7,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,511.924139%16 W · 25 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb917…02c6backed Olympique de Marseille58c7,986$4,632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,354.041855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed FC Metz43c5,445$2,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,341.226553.8%35 W · 30 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed FC Metz50c2,586$1,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,287.041,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Olympique de Marseille59c2,489$1,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,020.482466.7%16 W · 8 L+3.6wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+45.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xad7b…8288backed Olympique de Marseille59c2,124$1,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8711100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Olympique de Marseille57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8603964.1%25 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea03…a5a3backed Olympique de Marseille59c1,966$1,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$813.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Olympique de Marseille57c1,430$818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.444438.6%17 W · 27 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1509…ca95backed FC Metz42c1,010$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.19333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked FC Metz42c976.96$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.3187344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed FC Metz42c899.95$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.9830448%146 W · 158 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Olympique de Marseille62c823.28$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.5671140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked FC Metz41c525.68$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.531,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Olympique de Marseille46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27012039.2%47 W · 73 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid+13.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Olympique de Marseille51c494.82$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.469641.7%40 W · 56 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed FC Metz28c478.4$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.9514544.8%65 W · 80 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60fe…f286backed FC Metz44c455.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.27333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-49.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked FC Metz38c408.1$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.0259348.4%287 W · 306 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x258f…4493backed Olympique de Marseille20c360$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2883129%9 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Olympique de Marseille58c339.62$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.473154.8%17 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+22.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb2f3…1732backed Olympique de Marseille30c300$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2101100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3aec…65fabacked FC Metz42c238.05$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69e7…7cb7backed Olympique de Marseille78c226.26$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.63158.1%18 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick67cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd55…c9bfbacked FC Metz44c219.64$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.642128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Olympique de Marseille58c201.68$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.713857.9%22 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9e7…0febbacked FC Metz41c201.11$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.462060%12 W · 8 L+3.3wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+32.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc66b…1435backed Olympique de Marseille59c199.39$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.36757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x533d…ceeebacked FC Metz13c192$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.96425%1 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick11cpaid+212.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked FC Metz30c191.6$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.488247.6%39 W · 43 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Olympique de Marseille55c182.18$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.293135.5%11 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed FC Metz41c180$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.811250.9%57 W · 55 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8361…c9c9backed Olympique de Marseille57c171$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.53850%4 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b33…044ebacked Olympique de Marseille57c170.91$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.49955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6983…ee73backed Olympique de Marseille58c168.07$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Olympique de Marseille78c149.63$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.9626346.4%122 W · 141 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4411…20bfbacked Olympique de Marseille58c134.46$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.471957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed FC Metz41c122$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0246450.4%234 W · 230 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed FC Metz38c107.86$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.1133145%149 W · 182 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9531…18ffbacked Olympique de Marseille54c107.2$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.842825%7 W · 21 L-4.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-45.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Olympique de Marseille62c103.55$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.8326660.5%161 W · 105 L+25.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe11c…c7f7backed Olympique de Marseille58c101.77$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.74333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11d8…5be4backed Olympique de Marseille58c97.48$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.94560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df5…1e18backed FC Metz43c96.58$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.533360.6%20 W · 13 L+4.1wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Olympique de Marseille56c89.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.624051.7%124 W · 116 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb7c…82f2backed Olympique de Marseille57c85.46$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.755230.8%16 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55a7…24a0backed Olympique de Marseille59c83.21$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed FC Metz48c81.6$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.199558.9%56 W · 39 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked FC Metz48c81.6$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.199960.6%60 W · 39 L+7.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed FC Metz36c76.59$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6417817.4%31 W · 147 L-16.2wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-34.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed FC Metz33c76.4$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4445233.6%152 W · 300 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed FC Metz42c71.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.233847.4%18 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed FC Metz41c58.75$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0940%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b56…9100backed FC Metz42c57.19$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.131442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91d9…6c60backed Olympique de Marseille57c51.27$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.05812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.38per pick50cpaid-78.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe99f…0d86backed Olympique de Marseille58c50.42$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.18633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Olympique de Marseille59c50.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.576245.2%28 W · 34 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaaf6…2971backed Olympique de Marseille57c47.86$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.58666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Olympique de Marseille63c45.91$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9915649.4%77 W · 79 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed FC Metz43c44.58$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1710248%49 W · 53 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0045…9007backed Olympique de Marseille57c42.73$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.372347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb269…6adebacked Olympique de Marseille58c42.02$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.656142.6%26 W · 35 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10a1…c3bebacked Olympique de Marseille57c34.18$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49ec…ac1cbacked FC Metz42c33.76$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.181118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-74.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb581…1b9cbacked Olympique de Marseille58c33.13$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.911560%9 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e9f…5403backed FC Metz42c31.85$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.38944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Olympique de Marseille58c29.24$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.287353.4%39 W · 34 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Olympique de Marseille40c28.28$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1116224.1%39 W · 123 L-13.0wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-42.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4880…5626backed FC Metz43c27.5$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.891250%6 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x66fc…2720backed Olympique de Marseille71c25.66$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.44955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeae5…4d0dbacked Olympique de Marseille58c25.21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.59742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e83…2e2abacked Olympique de Marseille59c24.8$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.171154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa431…bd20backed Olympique de Marseille59c24.8$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bbb…48f2backed FC Metz43c24.71$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.62333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6baa…b85fbacked Olympique de Marseille57c21.26$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed FC Metz60c20.25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1512556%70 W · 55 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed FC Metz60c20.25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.155763.2%36 W · 21 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed FC Metz60c20.25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1512963.6%82 W · 47 L+12.6wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+14.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed FC Metz60c20.25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.158058.8%47 W · 33 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked FC Metz60c20.25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1510364.1%66 W · 37 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed FC Metz60c20.25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.153070%21 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb63a…7637backed Olympique de Marseille58c19.5$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.193268.8%22 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe64…745fbacked Olympique de Marseille58c19.5$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17a3…8cb3backed Olympique de Marseille57c19.38$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f02…f85fbacked Olympique de Marseille78c14.92$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.342100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.