Ligue 1 · resolved market
Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51c0f5f749c39ac9fe07e952c4a384a97a711750212c807a82cdc32473d20001
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FC Metzof Olympique de Marseille, FC Metz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,598
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,074
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,598 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked FC Metz | 65c | 24,533$15,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,624.67 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Olympique de Marseille | 35c | 13,593$4,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,806.07 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed FC Metz | 65c | 2,269$1,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797 | 304 | 48%146 W · 158 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Olympique de Marseille | 36c | 1,750$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.24 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Olympique de Marseille | 35c | 1,534$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.66 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Olympique de Marseille | 35c | 1,308$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.94 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Olympique de Marseille | 35c | 1,068$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.68 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…f286backed FC Metz | 66c | 756.34$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Olympique de Marseille | 35c | 654.19$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.97 | 125 | 56%70 W · 55 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Olympique de Marseille | 35c | 654.19$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.97 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Olympique de Marseille | 35c | 635.61$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.46 | 129 | 63.6%82 W · 47 L | +12.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Olympique de Marseille | 35c | 635.61$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.46 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Olympique de Marseille | 35c | 628.35$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.92 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Olympique de Marseille | 35c | 628.35$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.92 | 99 | 60.6%60 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Olympique de Marseille | 35c | 622.48$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.87 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa573…f034backed Olympique de Marseille | 35c | 557.38$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c23…261ebacked Olympique de Marseille | 35c | 549.14$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.2 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed Olympique de Marseille | 37c | 520.11$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.44 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Olympique de Marseille | 35c | 274.57$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.1 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x033b…5e3fbacked Olympique de Marseille | 35c | 261.67$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.58 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed FC Metz | 53c | 243.01$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.2 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Olympique de Marseille | 42c | 235.33$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.38 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked FC Metz | 56c | 173.86$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Olympique de Marseille | 10c | 163.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 162 | 24.1%39 W · 123 L | -13.0wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…82f2backed Olympique de Marseille | 35c | 137.29$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.05 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Olympique de Marseille | 19c | 127.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 178 | 17.4%31 W · 147 L | -16.2wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Olympique de Marseille | 50c | 124.6$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.61 | 266 | 60.5%161 W · 105 L | +25.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed FC Metz | 65c | 118.39$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.44 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaff…eaf6backed Olympique de Marseille | 35c | 101.68$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.59 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Olympique de Marseille | 16c | 87.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -4.7wins | -0.23per pick | 28cpaid | -84.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed FC Metz | 54c | 78.77$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Olympique de Marseille | 35c | 64.05$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Olympique de Marseille | 35c | 54.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15bb…2033backed Olympique de Marseille | 35c | 54.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Olympique de Marseille | 42c | 53.12$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Olympique de Marseille | 35c | 48.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed FC Metz | 64c | 47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Olympique de Marseille | 35c | 46.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed FC Metz | 65c | 45.17$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…cf83backed Olympique de Marseille | 35c | 37.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Olympique de Marseille | 35c | 36.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 452 | 33.6%152 W · 300 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Olympique de Marseille | 30c | 36.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…7924backed FC Metz | 65c | 29.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked FC Metz | 55c | 26.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Olympique de Marseille | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2962…1b06backed FC Metz | 60c | 17.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-2.5)this page
- Olympique de Marseille vs. FC Metz: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Olympique de Marseille vs. FC Metz: O/U 1.5Over won
- Olympique de Marseille vs. FC Metz: O/U 2.5Over won
- Olympique de Marseille vs. FC Metz: O/U 3.5Over won
- Olympique de Marseille vs. FC Metz: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Metz (-1.5)Olympique de Marseille won
- Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)Olympique de Marseille won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.