Ligue 1 · resolved market
Olympique de Marseille vs. FC Metz: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37f07b9acde99cf90598e7fadcd515ad0ed776f5311529a83a397ba402276778
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $145,147
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $154,802
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $145,147 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 50c | 40,280$20,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,089.41 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…d35fbacked Over | 30c | 15,952$4,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,206.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 50c | 13,666$6,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,834.8 | 243 | 49.4%120 W · 123 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 33c | 10,453$3,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,037.21 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dba…10dabacked Over | 50c | 9,508$4,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,754.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…f29dbacked Over | 50c | 7,048$3,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,524.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 50c | 7,000$3,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,469.98 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 63c | 6,422$4,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,038.09 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd586…7c9bbacked Over | 50c | 5,784$2,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,873.01 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked Under | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,699.93 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 50c | 4,200$2,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,117 | 304 | 48%146 W · 158 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce86…c4a8backed Over | 50c | 4,074$2,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,037 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked Under | 49c | 3,650$1,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,788.48 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 45c | 3,351$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510.45 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 68c | 3,330$2,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,265.09 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeae5…0720backed Under | 54c | 3,046$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,644.83 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Over | 54c | 2,616$1,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,203.57 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Over | 48c | 2,600$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.78 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 48c | 2,068$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.18 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 69c | 1,993$1,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,366.88 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb779…ab22backed Under | 51c | 1,779$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.45 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 1,485$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.14 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 66c | 1,387$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.61 | 125 | 56%70 W · 55 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 68c | 1,143$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.15 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…f286backed Under | 51c | 1,036$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 76c | 1,013$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.12 | 263 | 46.4%122 W · 141 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Under | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3054…699bbacked Under | 52c | 999.99$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 51cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 34c | 988.65$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.14 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Under | 2c | 978.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 50c | 961.37$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.21 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over | 48c | 928.43$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.79 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Over | 50c | 777.06$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.52 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c23…261ebacked Over | 51c | 721.48$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.12 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 47c | 719.75$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.26 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb7…ca4abacked Under | 77c | 700.72$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56de…bc32backed Under | 51c | 679.3$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.09 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafc4…daa1backed Under | 13c | 659.35$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.25 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +282.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over | 48c | 645.03$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.47 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 69c | 642.72$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.96 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 51c | 615.67$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.68 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 46c | 607.28$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.47 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 49c | 558.62$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.95 | 99 | 60.6%60 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 46c | 525.83$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.95 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 46c | 473.8$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.85 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Under | 52c | 466.92$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.8 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked Under | 15c | 465$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.75 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…62eabacked Under | 55c | 408.99$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.94 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Over | 52c | 395.05$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.31 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea3…a8aebacked Over | 49c | 391.98$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Over | 54c | 360.15$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.67 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -5.6wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Under | 68c | 357.35$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.2 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcd…445ebacked Under | 15c | 350$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Over | 70c | 335.5$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.78 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 53c | 305.99$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.12 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 65c | 303.1$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.3 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe56…593abacked Under | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 49c | 293.6$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.56 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 46c | 270.57$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.11 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over | 46c | 270.57$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.11 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 49c | 265.18$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.32 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 53c | 256.7$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.05 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 44c | 256.34$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.89 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Under | 48c | 251.03$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.49 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa614…4f85backed Under | 41c | 235.34$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Over | 46c | 234.39$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.57 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Over | 46c | 234.39$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.57 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x210a…1080backed Over | 52c | 230.17$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.7 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1e…f62bbacked Over | 53c | 229.2$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.72 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.8%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 50c | 226.69$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.24 | 129 | 63.6%82 W · 47 L | +12.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 46c | 219.68$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.63 | 103 | 64.1%66 W · 37 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 51c | 211.76$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 46c | 210.33$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.58 | 123 | 67.5%83 W · 40 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked Over | 46c | 210.33$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.58 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Over | 46c | 210.33$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.58 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Over | 46c | 210.33$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.58 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +37%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…ceeebacked Under | 12c | 208$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 49c | 203.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.83 | 233 | 42.5%99 W · 134 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Under | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.12 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Over | 51c | 184.7$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.5 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d54…4d13backed Over | 47c | 180$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 53c | 180$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.4 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 63c | 166.42$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.3 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 46c | 165.4$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.31 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Under | 48c | 144$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.12 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x788e…e086backed Over | 50c | 140.13$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 50c | 121.3$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.65 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Under | 29c | 114$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68f4…2a4abacked Over | 58c | 109.24$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 44c | 108.98$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.62 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 50c | 108.67$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.33 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Over | 46c | 105.15$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.78 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62db…d58ebacked Over | 48c | 101.98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15bb…2033backed Over | 49c | 101.07$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.14 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…26dcbacked Under | 72c | 98.32$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 71c | 96$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 188 | 47.9%90 W · 98 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 19c | 95.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 16c | 93.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.17 | 266 | 60.5%161 W · 105 L | +25.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae0…8f73backed Over | 53c | 91.68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.09 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 51c | 91.4$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.75 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Olympique de Marseille vs. FC Metz: O/U 3.5this page
- Olympique de Marseille vs. FC Metz: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Olympique de Marseille vs. FC Metz: O/U 1.5Over won
- Olympique de Marseille vs. FC Metz: O/U 2.5Over won
- Olympique de Marseille vs. FC Metz: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Metz (-1.5)Olympique de Marseille won
- Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)Olympique de Marseille won
- Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-2.5)FC Metz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.