Ligue 1 · resolved market
Olympique de Marseille vs. FC Metz: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x63eba071d3e83ba6f94baac05a89c8629698fc666b93735aec5bb0ed0d81f114
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,066
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,543
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,066 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc249…8a61backed No | 44c | 999.92$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.97 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 53c | 645.63$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.57 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a2…468cbacked No | 48c | 399.99$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed No | 47c | 356.2$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.41 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 60c | 311.53$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.65 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 51c | 309.67$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.65 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68f4…2a4abacked Yes | 40c | 260.28$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.17 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b0…7b16backed Yes | 39c | 254.73$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccb…6e97backed No | 53c | 248.56$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked No | 51c | 199.98$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.99 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 54c | 183.8$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.37 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 49c | 182.75$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.43 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…c26abacked Yes | 56c | 173.86$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Yes | 52c | 173.7$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.37 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +5.2wins | +0.27per pick | 46cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked No | 51c | 173.68$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.54 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e13…c506backed No | 62c | 152.63$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6a…8bbcbacked No | 45c | 124.01$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.81 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2d…8452backed No | 46c | 105.17$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.24per pick | 36cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Yes | 47c | 104.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 46c | 100.08$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.57 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c1e…ca41backed No | 44c | 87.85$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 47c | 87.12$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.17 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c23…261ebacked Yes | 57c | 84.97$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.58 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 57c | 80.5$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.61 | 125 | 56%70 W · 55 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 57c | 80.5$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.61 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 57c | 80.5$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.61 | 129 | 63.6%82 W · 47 L | +12.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Yes | 57c | 80.5$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.61 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 57c | 80.5$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.61 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 57c | 80.5$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.61 | 99 | 60.6%60 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Yes | 57c | 80.5$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.61 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Yes | 57c | 80.5$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.61 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 55c | 71.03$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.96 | 266 | 60.5%161 W · 105 L | +25.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed No | 45c | 62.86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.28 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f62…0774backed Yes | 51c | 56.81$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed No | 50c | 48.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed No | 46c | 41.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b04…f792backed No | 48c | 40.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed Yes | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yes | 56c | 38.45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd666…ae19backed Yes | 51c | 38.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 43c | 34.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x387b…4367backed No | 43c | 33.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5514…a9c1backed No | 47c | 28.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b56…9100backed Yes | 55c | 27.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Yes | 67c | 18.69$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.17 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Olympique de Marseille vs. FC Metz: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Olympique de Marseille vs. FC Metz: O/U 1.5Over won
- Olympique de Marseille vs. FC Metz: O/U 2.5Over won
- Olympique de Marseille vs. FC Metz: O/U 3.5Over won
- Olympique de Marseille vs. FC Metz: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Metz (-1.5)Olympique de Marseille won
- Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)Olympique de Marseille won
- Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-2.5)FC Metz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.