CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: CSDIILIT vs GenOne (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50d61de52bb4e843ebb490bf7e2fc31ae1253caa4f5738bb3959528eb250d1de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GenOneof CSDIILIT, GenOne
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,252
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,220
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,252 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed CSDIILIT | 0c | 7,767$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.09 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58e…93d6backed CSDIILIT | 20c | 2,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked CSDIILIT | 17c | 1,500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 239 | 32.2%77 W · 162 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed CSDIILIT | 17c | 1,427$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.75 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed CSDIILIT | 18c | 1,301$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.6 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed CSDIILIT | 19c | 1,250$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.47 | 176 | 44.9%79 W · 97 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…5977backed CSDIILIT | 16c | 861.8$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.89 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb927…148abacked CSDIILIT | 19c | 830$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.7 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78b7…9581backed CSDIILIT | 20c | 616$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.2 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked CSDIILIT | 8c | 551.08$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.05 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec78…110cbacked CSDIILIT | 20c | 523$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked CSDIILIT | 17c | 496.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.49 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85ff…ebe9backed CSDIILIT | 19c | 466$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.54 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b7…63bbbacked CSDIILIT | 19c | 450$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea1a…5e64backed GenOne | 80c | 383$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.6 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1651…7494backed GenOne | 80c | 290$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d0…f8d1backed GenOne | 80c | 233$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a99…cedcbacked GenOne | 80c | 233$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.6 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…22eabacked CSDIILIT | 18c | 220$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.4 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked CSDIILIT | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1512…68f3backed CSDIILIT | 8c | 166.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 291 | 53.6%156 W · 135 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed CSDIILIT | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 211 | 39.3%83 W · 128 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked CSDIILIT | 17c | 95.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a60…a571backed CSDIILIT | 12c | 87.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3559…ee15backed CSDIILIT | 13c | 80$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed CSDIILIT | 22c | 74.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd18b…520cbacked CSDIILIT | 25c | 51.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec48…d04cbacked GenOne | 75c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed GenOne | 74c | 31.15$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked GenOne | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked GenOne | 78c | 17.94$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.94 | 227 | 54.2%123 W · 104 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: CSDIILIT vs GenOne (BO3)this page
- Counter-Strike: CSDIILIT vs GenOne - Map 1 WinnerGenOne won
- Counter-Strike: CSDIILIT vs GenOne - Map 2 WinnerGenOne won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.