CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Skinsauna.gg (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3234a013e974265bc7a7c8ad1e5b2a67027bb6122292cd34a73cb8323aa19292
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bebopof Bebop, Skinsauna.gg
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,192
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,412
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,192 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x11ce…94abbacked Skinsauna.gg | 33c | 1,090$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.7 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…a13fbacked Skinsauna.gg | 1c | 895$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…942fbacked Skinsauna.gg | 18c | 700.91$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a1f…22b0backed Bebop | 67c | 665$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.45 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Skinsauna.gg | 2c | 628.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfac6…14febacked Skinsauna.gg | 31c | 534$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.54 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Skinsauna.gg | 21c | 482.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 227 | 54.2%123 W · 104 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d13…a448backed Bebop | 67c | 425$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.25 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a60…a571backed Skinsauna.gg | 10c | 377.88$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb70…d906backed Skinsauna.gg | 10c | 334.47$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.43 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43f9…f2a3backed Bebop | 69c | 271$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.01 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d6…1582backed Bebop | 69c | 263$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.53 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Skinsauna.gg | 18c | 223.17$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 178 | 47.2%84 W · 94 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Skinsauna.gg | 27c | 216.61$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Skinsauna.gg | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 77 | 6.5%5 W · 72 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Skinsauna.gg | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +211.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked Skinsauna.gg | 25c | 200$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 286 | 44.1%126 W · 160 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Skinsauna.gg | 19c | 190$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…669fbacked Skinsauna.gg | 11c | 150$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Skinsauna.gg | 19c | 124.86$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.41 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Skinsauna.gg | 14c | 73.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Bebop | 70c | 62.59$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.02 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.