Middle East · resolved market
Will Trump say "Iran" 7+ times during meeting with Netanyahu?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x663ca02854d34874c76e109f9a07bda4de4b95db2166ead9fc1c48cfc6994f9a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,128
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,435
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,128 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa092…0bf2backed Yes | 23c | 1,796$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Yes | 52c | 1,300$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.95 | 362 | 27.9%101 W · 261 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa938…a1ffbacked No | 45c | 1,236$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.8 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b44…264ebacked No | 47c | 1,081$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.5 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +9.7wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +156.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 19c | 1,059$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 135 | 43.7%59 W · 76 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3d…aa1abacked Yes | 54c | 959$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.86 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd6…019dbacked Yes | 55c | 887$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +280.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 21c | 871.82$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.09 | 490 | 23.5%115 W · 375 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce55…c888backed Yes | 54c | 774$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.96 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 74c | 599.99$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.8 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xecdf…85edbacked Yes | 3c | 582$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 57c | 525.08$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -10.5wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xcfbd…17c9backed No | 46c | 442$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.68 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46e2…f8bbbacked No | 74c | 429.59$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.62 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e9e…bd89backed No | 77c | 428.4$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.4 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +98.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…d7b3backed No | 78c | 420.23$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.72 | 10 | 100%10 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4346…2241backed No | 46c | 419$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.26 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 30c | 408.73$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.85 | 51 | 9.8%5 W · 46 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x784f…5df9backed No | 74c | 407.08$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.47 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x165e…f5aabacked No | 45c | 400$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x354c…b301backed No | 46c | 373$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.42 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68ba…0e6abacked No | 46c | 343$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.22 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.33per pick | 56cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9b05…e6c2backed Yes | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 31cpaid | +281.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Yes | 34c | 297.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e4…369fbacked No | 43c | 287.85$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.11 | 125 | 25.6%32 W · 93 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…8234backed No | 46c | 286$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.44 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 21c | 282.83$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.58 | 358 | 19%68 W · 290 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 54c | 265.63$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.88 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf83…3016backed No | 45c | 231.54$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.77 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5781…c707backed Yes | 47c | 211.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ad…990ebacked Yes | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2480…1a9bbacked No | 78c | 180.66$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c42…1616backed Yes | 55c | 179$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.45 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 57c | 176.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.35 | 342 | 34.8%119 W · 223 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0956…9aa4backed Yes | 55c | 170$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -75%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cf…66c3backed No | 80c | 158.7$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.74 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3068…083dbacked No | 45c | 155.56$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.56 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5f…11c5backed Yes | 12c | 153.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 143 | 25.9%37 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc900…4557backed Yes | 14c | 145.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ca…960bbacked Yes | 56c | 137.65$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.08 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa95d…6a82backed No | 49c | 137.27$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.01 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +802.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde31…4f59backed Yes | 54c | 125.57$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.3 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7975…d3f7backed No | 45c | 120$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ded…9025backed Yes | 37c | 120$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49d5…1eb0backed No | 80c | 101.98$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…009dbacked Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3489…7fffbacked No | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9778…1d7bbacked No | 46c | 86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.44 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +4.6wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 49c | 79.1$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.34 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +12.3wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3a…1550backed No | 46c | 71.6$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b3…1426backed No | 44c | 65.86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.88 | 133 | 60.9%81 W · 52 L | +18.4wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd1…1829backed No | 54c | 61.1$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 62 | 19.4%12 W · 50 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56d1…83eabacked Yes | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -6.0wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdc95…8e36backed No | 48c | 54.07$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.12 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…b79ebacked Yes | 24c | 46.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d2…cd9cbacked No | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…33b9backed No | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe286…35b3backed Yes | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c66…31e3backed Yes | 54c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a60…a571backed No | 45c | 39.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 54c | 39.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 857 | 25.2%216 W · 641 L | -115.1wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2387…abe1backed No | 44c | 38.43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…98eebacked No | 73c | 35.45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 201 | 43.3%87 W · 114 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7e…35b7backed No | 49c | 32.64$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa1…d4c8backed No | 46c | 30.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2014…caefbacked Yes | 56c | 28.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 44c | 28.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.83 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6721…d75bbacked No | 69c | 25.01$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8d…4f17backed No | 45c | 24.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +96.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…1e42backed No | 45c | 22.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.64 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 55c | 22.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 344 | 32.3%111 W · 233 L | -31.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5753…fa31backed No | 49c | 20.43$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9934…6078backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd08…2c93backed No | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 88 | 67%59 W · 29 L | +15.2wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +72%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump say "Iran" 7+ times during meeting with Netanyahu?this page
- Will Trump say "Accords" during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "Armada" during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "B2" or "F35" during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "First Term" during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "Gaza" 5+ times during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "General" or "Bondi" during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "Goy" or "Goyim" during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "Hell" during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "Israel" 13+ times during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 3+ times during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "Middle East" during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "NATO" during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "Nothing" 2+ times during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "Nuclear" 5+ times during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "Obliterated" or "Obliteration" during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "Palestine" or "Palestinian" during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "Peace" 8+ times during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "Think about" during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "Thousand" or "Million" or "Billion" 8+ timesduring meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "Venezuela" during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "VoterID" or "Voter ID" during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump say "Witkoff" or "Kushner" during meeting with Netanyahu?No won
- Will Trump's meeting with Netanyahu not air?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.