TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Middle East · resolved market

Will Trump say "VoterID" or "Voter ID" during meeting with Netanyahu?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$10,920
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$11,149

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,920 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Middle East
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd29f…26b4backed Yes13c1,419$184 inLost-$184.471435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-27.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a37…141abacked Yes13c1,093$142 inLost-$142.091533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-22.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd426…334abacked Yes9c500$45 inLost-$4536227.9%101 W · 261 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick25cpaid-28.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x75ac…33d7backed Yes9c381.53$33 inLost-$32.7149023.5%115 W · 375 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-21.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d17…1e5ebacked Yes14c326$46 inLost-$45.642147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+23.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes10c309.85$31 inLost-$30.6435819%68 W · 290 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-35%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes10c157$16 inLost-$15.6186542.3%366 W · 499 L-3.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x927f…e7e7backed Yes9c149.87$13 inLost-$12.897939.2%31 W · 48 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+19.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9721…0c3ebacked Yes12c100$12 inLost-$11.9137.7%1 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick27cpaid-75.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed Yes13c93$12 inLost-$12.0985725.2%216 W · 641 L-115.1wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-43.7%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.