Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: 4Pirates vs Power Rangers (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x602b5ed79952ea52d01c882c40a4ac311c3c86b0490701d5799ab5fbf66279a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Power Rangersof 4Pirates, Power Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,261
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,649
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,261 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9024…a444backed 4Pirates | 2c | 6,001$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.06 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed 4Pirates | 1c | 4,692$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.62 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked 4Pirates | 18c | 1,857$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.67 | 141 | 21.3%30 W · 111 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…b9c6backed 4Pirates | 19c | 1,646$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.69 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb927…148abacked 4Pirates | 22c | 1,524$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ca…3748backed 4Pirates | 21c | 1,364$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.48 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39d7…e896backed Power Rangers | 78c | 800$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78b7…9581backed 4Pirates | 22c | 763$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b7…63bbbacked Power Rangers | 78c | 724$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Power Rangers | 74c | 703.11$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.52 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb834…e4c1backed 4Pirates | 13c | 644.04$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed 4Pirates | 26c | 580.62$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.96 | 101 | 36.6%37 W · 64 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe065…d1debacked 4Pirates | 14c | 535.6$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.65 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20b2…f114backed 4Pirates | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 151 | 31.8%48 W · 103 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe65…9fbbbacked 4Pirates | 22c | 480$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec78…110cbacked Power Rangers | 78c | 463$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 77cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85ff…ebe9backed 4Pirates | 22c | 457$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked 4Pirates | 5c | 399.92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58e…93d6backed Power Rangers | 78c | 300$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 77cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed 4Pirates | 20c | 280$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed 4Pirates | 21c | 262.97$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.22 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc276…694dbacked Power Rangers | 78c | 241$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd395…aeb5backed Power Rangers | 78c | 240$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e98…fb58backed Power Rangers | 78c | 239$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked 4Pirates | 7c | 229.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 56 | 1.8%1 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -77%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed 4Pirates | 18c | 222.45$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.94 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d6…8ff9backed Power Rangers | 78c | 217$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked 4Pirates | 17c | 204.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.76 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked 4Pirates | 26c | 198.86$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.61 | 301 | 38.9%117 W · 184 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedd9…4d7fbacked Power Rangers | 79c | 125.75$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed 4Pirates | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a60…a571backed 4Pirates | 21c | 119.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad2…b231backed 4Pirates | 9c | 108$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…c36abacked Power Rangers | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked 4Pirates | 11c | 99.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Power Rangers | 77c | 87.33$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa134…3ba2backed 4Pirates | 15c | 84.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed 4Pirates | 17c | 77.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 138 | 27.5%38 W · 100 L | -15.0wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Power Rangers | 75c | 59.77$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked 4Pirates | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Power Rangers | 77c | 39.32$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.92 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…ca64backed Power Rangers | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef87…a71dbacked Power Rangers | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1a…25cebacked 4Pirates | 45c | 22.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: 4Pirates vs Power Rangers (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: 4Pirates vs Power Rangers - Game 1 WinnerPower Rangers won
- Dota 2: 4Pirates vs Power Rangers - Game 2 WinnerPower Rangers won
- Game Handicap: PR (-1.5)Power Rangers won
- Series: Most kills?Power Rangers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.