Earnings · resolved market
Will anyone say "Streaming" during the Q3 2025 Apple earnings call?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e76c4f26ebe23927292d68b8397ec51f31712ec71811830a7f9fdc9a9a27320
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,565
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,642
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,565 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0562…9d66backed No | 64c | 170.28$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 62c | 165.59$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.97 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x512c…d419backed No | 76c | 140$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 58c | 88.08$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.93 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3d…b13abacked No | 74c | 70$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f4…49e7backed Yes | 32c | 65.42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a0…7e0abacked No | 51c | 60.65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.93 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +5.2wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6b…fff6backed Yes | 36c | 55.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +134.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x355e…a038backed Yes | 28c | 55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.85 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | +12.1wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0694…2542backed Yes | 39c | 51.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9955…3ea4backed Yes | 39c | 50.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.82 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d68…c379backed Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d55…7510backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fc…248bbacked Yes | 49c | 41.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb9…68d4backed No | 76c | 34.32$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x038b…afc4backed Yes | 45c | 33.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +61%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34b0…9017backed Yes | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 30cpaid | +228.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb27a…882bbacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…0a22backed No | 73c | 22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3688…a354backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will anyone say "Streaming" during the Q3 2025 Apple earnings call?this page
- Will anyone say "China" during the Q3 2025 Apple earnings call?Yes won
- Will anyone say "M3" during the Q3 2025 Apple earnings call?No won
- Will anyone say "Manufacturing" during the Q3 2025 Apple earnings call?Yes won
- Will anyone say "Tariff" during the Q3 2025 Apple earnings call?Yes won
- Will anyone say "Vision" during the Q3 2025 Apple earnings call?Yes won
- Will anyone say "iPhone" during the Q3 2025 Apple earnings call?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.