China Taiwan · resolved market
Trump x Xi talk before July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x03e0e496a314e5b37fac2904dfa0e5b4bd358fa02c77c6637b13c2ef8f11451a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- China Taiwanevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $201,284
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $210,146
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $201,284 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 210 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in China Taiwan is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in China Taiwan | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe10…95cbbacked No | 23c | 10,472$2,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,378.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…5a19backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed No | 5c | 9,925$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x830e…7099backed Yes | 76c | 8,203$6,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,953.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd57e…95f3backed No | 42c | 8,034$3,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,371 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8002…8b6cbacked Yes | 70c | 6,878$4,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,060.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x801d…d8e0backed No | 19c | 6,030$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 58c | 5,903$3,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,478.66 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd602…0105backed Yes | 78c | 5,583$4,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 59c | 4,814$2,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950.63 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x022e…2a77backed No | 39c | 4,205$1,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,622.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…21bbbacked No | 39c | 4,000$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,539.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4da2…bf18backed No | 31c | 3,197$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 57c | 2,800$1,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,601.98 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -7.5wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc7…8f89backed Yes | 67c | 2,622$1,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7b…782fbacked Yes | 62c | 2,545$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes | 66c | 2,340$1,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.97 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +4.6wins | +0.24per pick | 39cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x155c…1b09backed Yes | 75c | 2,246$1,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed Yes | 60c | 2,244$1,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 42c | 2,219$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…fa3fbacked Yes | 69c | 2,212$1,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.53per pick | 27cpaid | +350.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f3…0545backed No | 2c | 2,136$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x297a…92e0backed No | 10c | 2,121$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7215…9842backed No | 9c | 2,000$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e11…b846backed Yes | 49c | 1,960$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed No | 37c | 1,721$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.54 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…4e67backed No | 63c | 1,644$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.91 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…e93fbacked No | 49c | 1,600$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71dd…d61cbacked Yes | 51c | 1,511$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4d…f703backed No | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ea…17ebbacked Yes | 67c | 1,406$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked Yes | 64c | 1,391$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.61 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +4.9wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcced…9ffebacked Yes | 63c | 1,385$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x709b…0a0abacked Yes | 49c | 1,365$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +152.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea17…869cbacked No | 1c | 1,361$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bae…5d34backed Yes | 74c | 1,328$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.19 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc529…4f2cbacked No | 56c | 1,324$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…1cf9backed Yes | 77c | 1,298$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe58…ee71backed Yes | 63c | 1,272$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 56c | 1,108$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.53 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2478…2e62backed No | 30c | 1,067$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa70…8f17backed No | 49c | 1,040$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4956…e2c7backed Yes | 67c | 1,018$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce8f…4400backed No | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 47c | 978.16$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.56 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e1…7265backed Yes | 57c | 967$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 27c | 944.36$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.56 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb9…d6c3backed Yes | 70c | 909.55$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 52c | 855.18$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.62 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x662f…ac37backed Yes | 62c | 852.62$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0dc…3944backed Yes | 67c | 818.17$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82f6…4cf4backed No | 50c | 759.2$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x090c…b0cfbacked No | 22c | 742.99$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 54c | 719.38$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.84 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Yes | 76c | 706.24$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7494…6e0bbacked No | 21c | 699.99$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37a4…a487backed Yes | 46c | 689.43$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x583b…2ef1backed Yes | 75c | 666.15$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc26…24d0backed Yes | 65c | 617.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf750…4abbbacked Yes | 69c | 600$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 41c | 597.08$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.49 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 40cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74f0…0e43backed No | 39c | 596.57$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.03 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe633…c0febacked No | 5c | 570$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7e…a7b0backed No | 34c | 551.89$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Yes | 63c | 539.79$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked No | 24c | 513.1$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.67 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb1…bf68backed Yes | 51c | 512.17$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -61%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…f84bbacked No | 39c | 500$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12bf…ddafbacked No | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff4…17d1backed Yes | 43c | 471.07$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 21cpaid | +432.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72f7…1870backed Yes | 23c | 456.04$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +326.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9df…d8bcbacked No | 44c | 450.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes | 70c | 436$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.52 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.39per pick | 46cpaid | +89.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8c21…adafbacked No | 23c | 432.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…7a45backed No | 27c | 428.63$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.51 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Yes | 57c | 420.07$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a8…00c7backed No | 23c | 419.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dee…f4e6backed Yes | 62c | 415.48$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.91 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9a…de87backed Yes | 63c | 396.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 35c | 381.34$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.25 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf00a…c77cbacked Yes | 52c | 359.58$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeec5…b6febacked Yes | 62c | 352.28$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.92 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes | 73c | 345$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8720…6f76backed No | 35c | 325.04$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf327…0b68backed Yes | 56c | 312.42$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 28c | 303.81$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.04 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b93…9ec4backed No | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…3965backed Yes | 78c | 300$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41c…ba2fbacked Yes | 52c | 299.97$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.46 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf08e…41a7backed No | 20c | 297.37$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 34c | 293.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.33 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb46…f68bbacked Yes | 58c | 290.28$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…aef1backed Yes | 51c | 282.35$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.9 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 40cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22bd…a216backed No | 39c | 276.34$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79c2…9e2ebacked No | 36c | 262.26$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 58c | 250.68$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.32 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x429d…39a7backed No | 35c | 250$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7af…3ba8backed No | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 71c | 249.99$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99d5…e8c9backed Yes | 66c | 247.28$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in China Taiwan and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.