Earnings · resolved market
Will Shutterstock (SSTK) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde834cbb9a8784005283e577482a6dbbf4285c6d762ce9f8c53513362622b0c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,956
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,404
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,956 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 47c | 608.18$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.55 | 263 | 34.6%91 W · 172 L | -14.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…3d9abacked No | 36c | 555.97$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.82 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b92…42e6backed No | 35c | 492.1$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.95 | 122 | 64.8%79 W · 43 L | +15.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8bab…4f17backed No | 51c | 362.1$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.59 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes | 46c | 360.09$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.84 | 768 | 37.4%287 W · 481 L | +35.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x470d…b463backed No | 32c | 359.31$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.9 | 75 | 61.3%46 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 65c | 300$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 33c | 237.37$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.21 | 218 | 20.2%44 W · 174 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4b…ab60backed Yes | 71c | 227.18$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.3 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba51…ff35backed No | 26c | 220$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.86 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10bb…d49dbacked Yes | 58c | 218.06$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.8 | 102 | 72.5%74 W · 28 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1cf…9656backed Yes | 49c | 216.14$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.73 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0509…6e98backed No | 34c | 207.43$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.88 | 203 | 31.5%64 W · 139 L | -14.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8598…199fbacked No | 30c | 202.42$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.42 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x707b…69f2backed Yes | 62c | 202$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.24 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 676 | 42.9%290 W · 386 L | -36.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78f3…9529backed No | 28c | 199.98$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed Yes | 47c | 189.76$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.29 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed Yes | 69c | 185.56$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.56 | 157 | 65%102 W · 55 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a0a…9229backed Yes | 64c | 156$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62e2…7b24backed Yes | 71c | 141.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.81 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -5.1wins | -0.32per pick | 63cpaid | -60%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x718a…5d86backed Yes | 73c | 130.85$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.11 | 47 | 74.5%35 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f4…bf68backed Yes | 78c | 127.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -8.2wins | -0.17per pick | 63cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5c66…31e3backed Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5986…83e3backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5343…0b0fbacked Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 117 | 71.8%84 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5d…9ea3backed Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 107 | 60.7%65 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2535…053fbacked Yes | 47c | 89.36$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 33c | 83.12$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.81 | 464 | 14.2%66 W · 398 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked No | 36c | 78.51$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.39 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | -18.3wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9f76…e72bbacked Yes | 65c | 77.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 70cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f19…3aedbacked No | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb68f…613fbacked No | 28c | 74.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.99 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf900…2e68backed Yes | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 38c | 72$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.64 | 582 | 39%227 W · 355 L | -25.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 38c | 71.59$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf26e…43dcbacked No | 30c | 65.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x902d…1f3fbacked No | 61c | 65.44$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.44 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbf…2bdebacked Yes | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 100 | 67%67 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2361…e16ebacked No | 51c | 62.38$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.82 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefa6…d493backed No | 32c | 59.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.79 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked No | 21c | 57.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.29 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…2019backed No | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5817…9306backed Yes | 72c | 56.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.97 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…62d9backed Yes | 62c | 54$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.72 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.7wins | -0.41per pick | 64cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…e4e1backed Yes | 60c | 50.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 36c | 49.35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.41 | 110 | 32.7%36 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0534…14fcbacked No | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9d…69fbbacked No | 57c | 43.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 40c | 40.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 118 | 31.4%37 W · 81 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe36a…2aaebacked No | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -33%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98cc…852fbacked No | 28c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6346…7c71backed Yes | 72c | 38.89$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 75cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a1…c583backed Yes | 70c | 38.46$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…3e38backed Yes | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8b…9df9backed Yes | 70c | 35.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x175b…5f2fbacked Yes | 76c | 34.61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…3ee8backed Yes | 76c | 33.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06b0…1e95backed Yes | 70c | 32.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2b…ba96backed Yes | 76c | 32.04$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffb8…e610backed Yes | 76c | 30.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 155 | 30.3%47 W · 108 L | -20.2wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca0…5907backed Yes | 70c | 29.49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2566…b0dbbacked Yes | 70c | 29.49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b13…d32bbacked Yes | 76c | 28.21$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x905a…75dabacked Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 72cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b75…e226backed Yes | 70c | 27.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3029…0ab1backed Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d27…4f3cbacked Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x278c…a9a1backed Yes | 58c | 27.55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47f3…a2e5backed Yes | 75c | 26.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…d8f1backed Yes | 76c | 25.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc827…9f26backed Yes | 78c | 25.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1823…00e6backed Yes | 70c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd65…0d3abacked Yes | 70c | 24.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64d7…4d00backed Yes | 67c | 23.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 213 | 57.3%122 W · 91 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9c…8596backed Yes | 78c | 22.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…b14bbacked Yes | 72c | 22.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc7…ebf0backed Yes | 70c | 21.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4986…aacbbacked Yes | 74c | 21.51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 75cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5294…7870backed Yes | 70c | 20.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13dc…8766backed Yes | 77c | 20.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 65c | 20.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15c3…22cebacked Yes | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…216bbacked Yes | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d60…07e9backed Yes | 79c | 15.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.