Earnings · resolved market
Will DraftKings (DKNG) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x639424255d09a79664e90a46da6f072d73294ff27e99d9462c60493b5750a452
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,996
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,572
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,996 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf1f0…58dfbacked Yes | 2c | 7,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | +5.5wins | +0.16per pick | 7cpaid | +324.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 0c | 4,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5172…0581backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 74c | 1,221$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3a…9ec0backed Yes | 76c | 1,044$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…301cbacked No | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.38 | 473 | 38.5%182 W · 291 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed Yes | 68c | 999.99$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed No | 25c | 999.99$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9256…2e8bbacked No | 43c | 789.77$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.97 | 81 | 61.7%50 W · 31 L | +8.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0026…1ed5backed No | 49c | 610.49$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.49 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.22per pick | 60cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked No | 39c | 572.3$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.9 | 768 | 37.4%287 W · 481 L | +35.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…ad47backed No | 26c | 562.99$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.53 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…553bbacked No | 45c | 468.84$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.73 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | +14.8wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5986…83e3backed Yes | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 47c | 395.24$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…451cbacked No | 61c | 296$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.82 | 171 | 37.4%64 W · 107 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x707b…69f2backed Yes | 46c | 294.22$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.2 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0af5…2470backed Yes | 80c | 271.95$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 79cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc97b…7f7fbacked Yes | 79c | 253.07$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…62d9backed Yes | 51c | 229.56$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.08 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.7wins | -0.41per pick | 64cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd496…9c86backed No | 40c | 212$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 676 | 42.9%290 W · 386 L | -36.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x376f…1ea4backed Yes | 66c | 200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb5…d37cbacked Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -5.7wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -49%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked Yes | 57c | 174.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a0a…9229backed Yes | 60c | 167$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.2 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 7c | 159.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 290 | 24.1%70 W · 220 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c66…31e3backed Yes | 57c | 154.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777e…2836backed Yes | 69c | 144.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 16c | 138.7$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.96 | 218 | 20.2%44 W · 174 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 27c | 136.4$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.91 | 464 | 14.2%66 W · 398 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe036…44e6backed Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab5…e56fbacked No | 31c | 129.72$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.72 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 19cpaid | -73%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdacf…8d11backed No | 56c | 120$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.4 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed Yes | 17c | 117$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 49 | 6.1%3 W · 46 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a3f…5a2abacked No | 46c | 111.27$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…216bbacked No | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1146…7ebdbacked No | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf900…2e68backed Yes | 57c | 88.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bab…4f17backed No | 36c | 80$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefbf…79f6backed No | 48c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +26%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked Yes | 52c | 78.16$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.65 | 74 | 27%20 W · 54 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked Yes | 53c | 74.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 172 | 26.7%46 W · 126 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2361…e16ebacked Yes | 55c | 72.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0509…6e98backed No | 42c | 69.04$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.86 | 203 | 31.5%64 W · 139 L | -14.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaaec…f16bbacked Yes | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…1331backed No | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19c5…511dbacked No | 31c | 64.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.22 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…b953backed No | 31c | 63.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.82 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed No | 49c | 60.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x669d…19b0backed Yes | 61c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 63 | 71.4%45 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…1c8ebacked Yes | 69c | 55$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.95 | 218 | 61%133 W · 85 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 70c | 54$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x747b…f422backed No | 39c | 50.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4151…7283backed Yes | 75c | 50.67$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 71cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5343…0b0fbacked Yes | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 117 | 71.8%84 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf135…b072backed No | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1002…0334backed Yes | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…1d61backed No | 24c | 49.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8e…ce30backed No | 47c | 45.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.89 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbf…2bdebacked Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 100 | 67%67 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…0cf5backed Yes | 58c | 42.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4058…8b1cbacked Yes | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce88…7423backed Yes | 75c | 39.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x875e…1570backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 53c | 35.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 582 | 39%227 W · 355 L | -25.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb3…df33backed Yes | 58c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf57…053bbacked Yes | 74c | 34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5cf…b6f8backed Yes | 60c | 33.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb283…7019backed Yes | 58c | 32.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7080…2a12backed Yes | 58c | 32.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…d6ebbacked Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +100.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64d7…4d00backed Yes | 56c | 28.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 213 | 57.3%122 W · 91 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe433…607cbacked Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed Yes | 52c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…61e9backed No | 42c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 90 | 16.7%15 W · 75 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcad8…7cd2backed Yes | 75c | 22.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2339…a7fdbacked Yes | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8d…13b7backed Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9796…0013backed Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x740c…e34abacked Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 56c | 18.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 263 | 34.6%91 W · 172 L | -14.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…2019backed Yes | 60c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ea…061bbacked Yes | 74c | 14.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.