Earnings · resolved market
Will OneStream (OS) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8d068b71a02b8cfc8945bd8dcb6978ac1edcd1f5c3afd1e7e95a76816b25fc1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,116
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,417
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,116 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83a2…9452backed No | 26c | 4,604$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.19 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +4.1wins | +0.46per pick | 32cpaid | +681.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…9a71backed Yes | 75c | 2,100$1,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.03 | 21 | 95.2%20 W · 1 L | +6.7wins | +0.32per pick | 63cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 25c | 1,250$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.98 | 207 | 29.5%61 W · 146 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes | 72c | 400$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113 | 761 | 37.6%286 W · 475 L | +35.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4b…ab60backed No | 30c | 313.03$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.91 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x470d…b463backed Yes | 68c | 259.23$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.45 | 75 | 61.3%46 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 74c | 236.88$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.36 | 263 | 34.6%91 W · 172 L | -14.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…8dd9backed Yes | 77c | 232.48$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 26c | 199.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.99 | 674 | 42.7%288 W · 386 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54fd…4ac3backed Yes | 69c | 180$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.6 | 68 | 67.6%46 W · 22 L | +8.5wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ab…8231backed Yes | 70c | 143.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.27 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a0a…9229backed Yes | 74c | 138.23$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.94 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…28dfbacked Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c66…31e3backed Yes | 62c | 130.99$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.29 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9256…2e8bbacked Yes | 76c | 111$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.64 | 81 | 61.7%50 W · 31 L | +8.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 23c | 100.86$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 218 | 20.2%44 W · 174 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd0…53b4backed Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 86 | 34.9%30 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…216bbacked Yes | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3303…9266backed Yes | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 28c | 69.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 463 | 14.3%66 W · 397 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf900…2e68backed Yes | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 27c | 54.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 290 | 24.1%70 W · 220 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbf…2bdebacked Yes | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 100 | 67%67 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 71c | 50.1$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5343…0b0fbacked Yes | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 117 | 71.8%84 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…982abacked Yes | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…8fa9backed No | 39c | 46.15$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf602…964ebacked Yes | 75c | 40.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 68cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd003…70cbbacked Yes | 78c | 31.9$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45ac…3eeebacked No | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 68cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6656…03c3backed Yes | 80c | 28.6$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7798…b0d2backed Yes | 79c | 27.7$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e8…3237backed Yes | 80c | 27.35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff1f…9d93backed Yes | 80c | 26.1$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 70c | 24.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 579 | 39%226 W · 353 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4298…1c80backed Yes | 80c | 23.6$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0509…6e98backed Yes | 64c | 22.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 203 | 31.5%64 W · 139 L | -14.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64d7…4d00backed Yes | 75c | 21.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 213 | 57.3%122 W · 91 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…2019backed Yes | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7975…d3f7backed Yes | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -32%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8bab…4f17backed Yes | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x669d…19b0backed Yes | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 63 | 71.4%45 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2c…c361backed Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 68cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x131c…5270backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.