Earnings · resolved market
Will Palantir Technologies (PLTR) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a1a2ee8ad238406bb9de3721db308b79bafd1654da7c504cbdd5ffc22299a79
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,255
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,134
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,255 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked No | 14c | 7,341$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.08 | 760 | 37.6%286 W · 474 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…301cbacked No | 12c | 6,912$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804 | 471 | 38.6%182 W · 289 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed No | 10c | 5,000$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.99 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd555…e28abacked No | 16c | 4,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.98 | 216 | 39.4%85 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9256…2e8bbacked No | 45c | 3,676$1,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,647.41 | 81 | 61.7%50 W · 31 L | +8.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xface…9d17backed No | 16c | 2,756$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.24 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d2c…193abacked Yes | 25c | 1,848$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,386 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad07…d823backed No | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba51…ff35backed No | 17c | 1,500$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.03 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 9c | 1,198$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.74 | 80 | 12.5%10 W · 70 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…61e9backed No | 15c | 799.98$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 90 | 16.7%15 W · 75 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 18c | 709.8$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.74 | 263 | 34.6%91 W · 172 L | -14.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bab…4f17backed No | 19c | 641.2$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.9 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee17…6ea1backed No | 18c | 640.05$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.03 | 60 | 16.7%10 W · 50 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a3…22abbacked No | 11c | 599.98$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30b2…9e25backed No | 12c | 465.72$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.76 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 18c | 438.78$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.68 | 218 | 20.2%44 W · 174 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0c…6825backed No | 25c | 406.17$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.01 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0495…c68fbacked No | 20c | 400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b78…2637backed No | 9c | 383.93$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.69 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1002…1ef5backed No | 20c | 358.19$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcee…0f35backed Yes | 78c | 320$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf57…053bbacked Yes | 80c | 310$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc77…c035backed No | 17c | 310$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.79 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 13c | 302.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.19 | 290 | 24.1%70 W · 220 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 28c | 300$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.99 | 330 | 25.2%83 W · 247 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked No | 15c | 299.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 172 | 26.7%46 W · 126 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf91f…57f5backed No | 6c | 295.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked No | 16c | 284.58$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.22 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdacf…8d11backed No | 20c | 279.61$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.33 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 19c | 267.45$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.69 | 207 | 29.5%61 W · 146 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e42…ff99backed No | 5c | 267.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed No | 12c | 249.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x388e…2078backed No | 18c | 239.98$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 14c | 229.01$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.41 | 110 | 32.7%36 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 77c | 221.99$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.29 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19c5…511dbacked No | 14c | 210.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c66…31e3backed Yes | 78c | 200$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5d…9ea3backed Yes | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 107 | 60.7%65 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…216bbacked No | 19c | 199.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 29c | 199.96$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.99 | 674 | 42.7%288 W · 386 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e51…46babacked No | 17c | 175.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5b…e666backed No | 14c | 168.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6799…1047backed No | 12c | 165.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 26cpaid | +122.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed No | 14c | 164.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked No | 15c | 162.9$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10bb…d49dbacked Yes | 79c | 160$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 102 | 72.5%74 W · 28 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…1c8ebacked No | 17c | 150$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 218 | 61%133 W · 85 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…4547backed No | 19c | 136.84$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ab…8231backed Yes | 71c | 130.18$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.75 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71be…61a0backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5610…f46abacked No | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…cbdcbacked No | 16c | 111$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 12c | 106.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 74 | 27%20 W · 54 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbf…2bdebacked Yes | 77c | 104.43$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.43 | 100 | 67%67 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x646c…3210backed No | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -71%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1cf…9656backed Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5986…83e3backed Yes | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed No | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…b0ccbacked No | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c2…4fd0backed Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccdd…4ff9backed No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6573…ab02backed No | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c14…10a2backed No | 13c | 99.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb68f…613fbacked No | 18c | 99.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5355…fae9backed No | 16c | 99.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aac…b7e1backed Yes | 71c | 98.59$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 15c | 94.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x741b…3cbfbacked No | 17c | 92.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7825…bd2ebacked No | 11c | 90.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…2019backed No | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fde…e544backed No | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Yes | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcad8…7cd2backed No | 20c | 62.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae6…7485backed No | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a3…541fbacked Yes | 71c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a28…aa5cbacked Yes | 80c | 58.75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 54 | 74.1%40 W · 14 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…e5c6backed No | 20c | 58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01f4…2c5ebacked No | 20c | 55.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5343…0b0fbacked Yes | 74c | 50.36$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 117 | 71.8%84 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03a2…ebf2backed Yes | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf597…f4aebacked Yes | 73c | 29.3$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5e…64ddbacked Yes | 70c | 28.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae23…7d21backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9796…0013backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x073b…1862backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb40…3612backed Yes | 72c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 64cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63ee…1638backed Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4daf…2b28backed Yes | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2106…4deabacked Yes | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x669d…19b0backed Yes | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 63 | 71.4%45 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17a5…e00abacked Yes | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad47…aa1fbacked Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 77cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.