Earnings · resolved market
Will Paramount Group (PSKY) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95a145d7d09de74ed82196aa31f2ac21059c92e511baa956f7dfe1eea99018e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,439
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,534
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,439 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked No | 70c | 6,620$4,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,956.81 | 761 | 37.6%286 W · 475 L | +35.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ab…300abacked Yes | 2c | 6,443$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.71 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 5,265$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.93 | 463 | 14.3%66 W · 397 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3a…e41fbacked Yes | 46c | 3,424$1,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,577.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…553bbacked No | 65c | 1,579$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.79 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | +14.8wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8d…7f99backed No | 69c | 1,444$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54fd…4ac3backed No | 66c | 1,217$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.26 | 68 | 67.6%46 W · 22 L | +8.5wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe056…8120backed No | 79c | 1,058$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.65 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58f5…be7bbacked Yes | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1e…bfe7backed Yes | 31c | 953$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.49 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb102…c73dbacked No | 67c | 794.7$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.74 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b9…d5eabacked Yes | 32c | 744.65$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.41 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…e12bbacked Yes | 32c | 680.87$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.92 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked Yes | 24c | 674$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.34 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed No | 68c | 654.39$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.62 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 11c | 619.5$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.66 | 290 | 24.1%70 W · 220 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdacf…8d11backed No | 63c | 594.68$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.32 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4607…7811backed Yes | 25c | 533.84$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.22 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0509…6e98backed Yes | 35c | 522.94$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.74 | 203 | 31.5%64 W · 139 L | -14.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 19c | 511.75$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.57 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -73%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27b8…b68cbacked Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…ad47backed Yes | 23c | 456.24$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed No | 74c | 452.17$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.05 | 155 | 64.5%100 W · 55 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 39c | 397.87$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.97 | 263 | 34.6%91 W · 172 L | -14.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x376f…1ea4backed Yes | 35c | 379.99$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 27c | 325.4$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.13 | 579 | 39%226 W · 353 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10bb…d49dbacked Yes | 52c | 320$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.96 | 102 | 72.5%74 W · 28 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a0a…9229backed Yes | 32c | 312.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.15 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…b14bbacked Yes | 36c | 277.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee17…6ea1backed Yes | 36c | 266.09$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.58 | 60 | 16.7%10 W · 50 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c66…31e3backed Yes | 32c | 260.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.24 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xface…9d17backed No | 69c | 231.33$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.7 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb04…c3dfbacked No | 70c | 216.06$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.76 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked No | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc2…687ebacked No | 74c | 198.68$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.54 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed No | 78c | 186.87$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.7 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64d7…4d00backed Yes | 34c | 176.47$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 213 | 57.3%122 W · 91 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dab…9b5fbacked Yes | 31c | 170.59$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +105.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 33c | 170.02$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.53 | 110 | 32.7%36 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb5…d37cbacked No | 57c | 164.98$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.74 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -5.7wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -49%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe068…c5eabacked Yes | 54c | 164$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.88 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.8wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…216bbacked No | 60c | 160$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.6 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…70efbacked Yes | 36c | 153.85$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.39 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x902d…1f3fbacked No | 69c | 144.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.39 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 69c | 143.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.97 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2361…e16ebacked Yes | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dde…b8f1backed Yes | 34c | 131$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.54 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…a3b1backed No | 80c | 125.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 74cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…a807backed Yes | 22c | 120$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea9…a10bbacked Yes | 35c | 116$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73d3…86f1backed No | 68c | 114.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed No | 70c | 114.33$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.33 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5d…9ea3backed Yes | 34c | 111$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.74 | 107 | 60.7%65 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4efd…9e75backed Yes | 25c | 109.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes | 32c | 109.88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x414b…f2b3backed No | 80c | 106.74$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 74cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23ca…9ae6backed No | 68c | 105$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 97 | 66%64 W · 33 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 61c | 103.08$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.04 | 80 | 12.5%10 W · 70 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa15b…30f1backed No | 71c | 103$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x646c…3210backed No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -71%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5986…83e3backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x304f…9a10backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 78 | 12.8%10 W · 68 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb283…7019backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…4f31backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 356 | 35.1%125 W · 231 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf73…0436backed No | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbf…2bdebacked Yes | 42c | 95.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 100 | 67%67 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…1331backed Yes | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f24…12efbacked Yes | 30c | 91.75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked Yes | 39c | 91.67$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.17 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | -18.3wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 47c | 90$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 155 | 30.3%47 W · 108 L | -20.2wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x307f…ed8dbacked No | 69c | 90$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.3 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bab…4f17backed No | 72c | 89.32$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.21 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9b…578cbacked Yes | 36c | 86.9$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b2…7c84backed Yes | 50c | 85$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.16 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4948…2a26backed No | 74c | 83.92$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…8d7fbacked Yes | 23c | 83.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…4547backed Yes | 31c | 82.56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8d…13b7backed Yes | 32c | 80.43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30b2…9e25backed No | 67c | 74.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.73 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x343c…6ee3backed Yes | 42c | 71.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…65e8backed Yes | 38c | 70$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked Yes | 23c | 69.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 74 | 27%20 W · 54 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 17c | 68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 118 | 31.4%37 W · 81 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…8bdebacked Yes | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x211f…8e0fbacked No | 68c | 58.4$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 54c | 57.57$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.23 | 218 | 20.2%44 W · 174 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e5…2244backed Yes | 25c | 54.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 60 | 8.3%5 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a8…45debacked No | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8e…ce30backed No | 69c | 53.08$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.49 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed No | 68c | 50.1$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.03 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6978…08d8backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e3…cda8backed No | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf597…f4aebacked No | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e2…73bebacked No | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…1b17backed No | 73c | 45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 77cpaid | +31%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe2…f885backed No | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…2019backed No | 71c | 42.03$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e8…0596backed No | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 37c | 40.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 189 | 41.3%78 W · 111 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.