Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C or below on June 17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdcadfbc837270c95ddb77bc6ec832d60b0b21f8724ba27b292847d0199fb76ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,747
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,800
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,747 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fe5…4745backed Yes | 10c | 4,249$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.87 | 186 | 29.6%55 W · 131 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 27c | 290.12$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.74 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…216bbacked No | 74c | 273.43$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.77 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b5…5aa7backed Yes | 48c | 231.46$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 31c | 220.07$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.51 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d09…143fbacked No | 40c | 215.91$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.71 | 288 | 29.5%85 W · 203 L | +32.9wins | +0.11per pick | 18cpaid | +101.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…4291backed Yes | 13c | 207.92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.03 | 2,165 | 23.8%516 W · 1,649 L | +83.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x375b…0ebbbacked Yes | 43c | 207.69$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked Yes | 25c | 155.39$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.03 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 60c | 133.45$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.97 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 37c | 131.86$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.36 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x31af…5c86backed Yes | 27c | 114.75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.53 | 318 | 36.8%117 W · 201 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 42c | 112$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.45 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0c…8b5ebacked No | 66c | 110.28$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.13 | 926 | 78.2%724 W · 202 L | +51.2wins | +0.06per pick | 73cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…d934backed No | 34c | 108.97$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.87 | 644 | 60.6%390 W · 254 L | +92.2wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f9…8d24backed Yes | 24c | 106$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.22 | 477 | 38.8%185 W · 292 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…deeabacked Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1,072 | 36.6%392 W · 680 L | +25.9wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd661…2750backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 880 | 28.9%254 W · 626 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7b…7a75backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 271 | 29.2%79 W · 192 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 1,082 | 65.6%710 W · 372 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ce…49e0backed Yes | 47c | 97.21$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.44 | 455 | 40%182 W · 273 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3a…00b2backed Yes | 42c | 95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 145 | 24.1%35 W · 110 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 39c | 94.05$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.73 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 56c | 93.76$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.64 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d2…7479backed No | 56c | 93.35$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.81 | 532 | 58.6%312 W · 220 L | +45.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…b9bebacked No | 37c | 81.89$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.89 | 224 | 46.4%104 W · 120 L | +31.1wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb699…4e20backed No | 59c | 80.3$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.99 | 213 | 52.1%111 W · 102 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89cc…9e01backed No | 54c | 79.91$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.66 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…abffbacked No | 49c | 71.91$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.73 | 306 | 65%199 W · 107 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 72c | 71.42$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed Yes | 44c | 68.63$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.52 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 64c | 65.56$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.7 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 54c | 61.7$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.41 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52dc…33c9backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 769 | 36.3%279 W · 490 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe29f…cdd8backed No | 36c | 55.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.39 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked No | 45c | 54.15$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.99 | 487 | 43.7%213 W · 274 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 36c | 53.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 28c | 53.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3164…3c65backed No | 75c | 52.73$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 444 | 65.3%290 W · 154 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2753…e28abacked No | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 420 | 61.2%257 W · 163 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd71…1281backed No | 37c | 50.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 539 | 51.9%280 W · 259 L | +54.4wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4e…7dbbbacked Yes | 68c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 386 | 55.7%215 W · 171 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33e8…dc93backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 239 | 41.4%99 W · 140 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9777…3761backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf145…2318backed Yes | 68c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 29c | 47.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 71c | 47.54$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 438 | 48.6%213 W · 225 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 40c | 47.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 69c | 46.71$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 659 | 65.4%431 W · 228 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed No | 50c | 45.49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 284 | 41.2%117 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 42c | 42.21$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…1b7ebacked No | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 1,385 | 65.8%911 W · 474 L | +62.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…3cc9backed Yes | 63c | 40.54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.54 | 701 | 48.4%339 W · 362 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50b1…0793backed No | 58c | 40.02$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.81 | 436 | 63.5%277 W · 159 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 54c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3b…bd3bbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Yes | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb4…4ea8backed No | 37c | 39.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.86 | 75 | 62.7%47 W · 28 L | +10.3wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked Yes | 30c | 39.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 32c | 38.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.89 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…9ac2backed No | 56c | 35.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +8.5wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +24%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…8fa3backed No | 58c | 34.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 393 | 46.6%183 W · 210 L | +29.9wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 71c | 32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4eab…2caabacked Yes | 40c | 30.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 445 | 67%298 W · 147 L | +17.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 67c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45a9…2b9fbacked Yes | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1f…e428backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 99 | 31.3%31 W · 68 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa98c…a75ebacked Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x164c…3e39backed Yes | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1,034 | 51.3%530 W · 504 L | +69.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbe…41afbacked Yes | 38c | 28.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…0969backed No | 51c | 28.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 63c | 27.21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 75c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd84…0fe5backed No | 66c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 515 | 68%350 W · 165 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 70c | 23.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17f2…adcabacked No | 74c | 23.22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 111 | 63.1%70 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 49c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb58…c62ebacked No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 65c | 18.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.41 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec0a…71dabacked Yes | 69c | 16.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1546…778bbacked No | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 354 | 29.9%106 W · 248 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…3d88backed No | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 478 | 66.5%318 W · 160 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C or below on June 17?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on June 17?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on June 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.