Earnings · resolved market
Will Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4927dc96febd8adaf3a42df07bad00990fe928418c889ff12ea23c622e9af43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,219
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,254
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,219 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x42f1…4a12backed No | 63c | 9,788$6,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,649.74 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +86.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…58dfbacked Yes | 4c | 7,081$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.93 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | +5.5wins | +0.16per pick | 7cpaid | +324.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Yes | 40c | 4,001$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1693…974ebacked No | 52c | 2,440$1,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,167.48 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…301cbacked Yes | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 471 | 38.6%182 W · 289 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa9…ab24backed No | 44c | 833.85$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.09 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 56cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x470d…b463backed Yes | 61c | 728.98$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.17 | 75 | 61.3%46 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…62d9backed Yes | 52c | 606.24$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.73 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.7wins | -0.41per pick | 64cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked No | 27c | 591.68$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.01 | 761 | 37.6%286 W · 475 L | +35.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4184…393bbacked Yes | 56c | 573.21$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed Yes | 39c | 549.99$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8598…199fbacked Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff57…f53bbacked Yes | 46c | 410.78$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb5…ed22backed Yes | 52c | 400$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada4…0bb8backed Yes | 8c | 370$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bab…4f17backed No | 46c | 344.34$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.66 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49b5…e5eebacked Yes | 51c | 278.92$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.24 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 64c | 273.86$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.23 | 263 | 34.6%91 W · 172 L | -14.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 19c | 256.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.86 | 80 | 12.5%10 W · 70 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked Yes | 38c | 250$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…3d9abacked No | 46c | 242.91$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.17 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 29c | 201.54$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.18 | 290 | 24.1%70 W · 220 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…1456backed Yes | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f19…3aedbacked Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c66…31e3backed Yes | 53c | 199.99$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a0a…9229backed Yes | 60c | 189.98$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.69 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3136…5b6bbacked Yes | 44c | 187.41$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5651…66a6backed Yes | 67c | 183.57$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 72cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5a…78e9backed No | 39c | 179.06$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.06 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf37…2454backed Yes | 57c | 174.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc406…07d9backed No | 58c | 171.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.19 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 24c | 161.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.14 | 463 | 14.3%66 W · 397 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…a303backed Yes | 38c | 157.07$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.01 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4b…ab60backed No | 59c | 145.78$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.77 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 46c | 145.64$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.07 | 110 | 32.7%36 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed Yes | 51c | 143.72$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 26c | 139.21$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.01 | 674 | 42.7%288 W · 386 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa10a…28b1backed Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5817…9306backed Yes | 47c | 133.38$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.75 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf900…2e68backed Yes | 38c | 131.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x902d…1f3fbacked No | 39c | 128.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.8 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5343…0b0fbacked Yes | 60c | 127.57$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.77 | 117 | 71.8%84 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbf…2bdebacked Yes | 63c | 127.15$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 100 | 67%67 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10bb…d49dbacked Yes | 73c | 125.09$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.76 | 102 | 72.5%74 W · 28 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked No | 38c | 113.91$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.02 | 67 | 25.4%17 W · 50 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d36…def5backed Yes | 59c | 110.71$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1cf…9656backed Yes | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5d…9ea3backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 107 | 60.7%65 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ccb…3135backed Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0495…c68fbacked Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8b…6fc5backed Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…216bbacked No | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5986…83e3backed Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93c4…dca6backed Yes | 42c | 99.3$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 47c | 98.36$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.03 | 218 | 20.2%44 W · 174 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdacf…8d11backed Yes | 69c | 90$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0264…91acbacked Yes | 57c | 87.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…e4e1backed Yes | 48c | 83.81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x718a…5d86backed Yes | 72c | 73.42$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.86 | 47 | 74.5%35 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64a2…6b9abacked Yes | 54c | 72.38$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74ea…2d28backed Yes | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f8…6620backed Yes | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 68cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked Yes | 58c | 63.88$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.79 | 74 | 27%20 W · 54 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…1c8ebacked Yes | 69c | 60$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 218 | 61%133 W · 85 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0534…14fcbacked No | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81c8…97b8backed Yes | 38c | 52.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b96…7b25backed Yes | 54c | 50.06$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed No | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a69…dbc4backed Yes | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 69cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee36…5888backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc61c…9314backed Yes | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4f…0652backed No | 51c | 48.91$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b01…7481backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -75%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5610…f46abacked No | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…2019backed No | 53c | 47.55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…8fa9backed No | 57c | 44.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6782…91d0backed Yes | 65c | 42.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2361…e16ebacked Yes | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79e6…8336backed No | 36c | 41.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.62 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ee…26babacked Yes | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked No | 51c | 39.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.13 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab3…517cbacked Yes | 52c | 38.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd4…d37abacked Yes | 55c | 36.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98cc…852fbacked No | 53c | 34.02$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3029…0ab1backed No | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 73c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 155 | 30.3%47 W · 108 L | -20.2wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x93f9…3340backed Yes | 48c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d27…4f3cbacked Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2d…cbe8backed Yes | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9118…c706backed Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 74cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44fa…ddabbacked Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 75cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…a055backed Yes | 54c | 27.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce88…7423backed Yes | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5091…f7a9backed Yes | 38c | 26.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcad8…7cd2backed Yes | 71c | 26.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8e…ce30backed No | 46c | 25.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 56c | 24.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d7…4d00backed Yes | 65c | 24.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 213 | 57.3%122 W · 91 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb40…3612backed Yes | 73c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 64cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.