Middle East · resolved market
Will the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by June 19, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6fb640291bee85157870161d572995f6ca36da984a85d78f319fbb46c8d0ff4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,081
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,201
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,081 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe6fa…aeecbacked Yes | 1c | 2,376$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.45 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d9…d57bbacked Yes | 8c | 1,653$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 8cpaid | +368.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked Yes | 62c | 1,617$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -36%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…1a48backed Yes | 43c | 1,295$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.97 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3d…8554backed Yes | 6c | 1,031$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.49 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +5.3wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7207…e423backed Yes | 33c | 898.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0787…0ca3backed No | 58c | 810.08$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.62 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +8.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf952…ce76backed Yes | 45c | 716$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc435…2494backed Yes | 15c | 655.44$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 78 | 21.8%17 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8030…7b74backed No | 28c | 548.33$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.48 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | +19.6wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb760…ccd7backed No | 59c | 500$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.25 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2330…ed99backed No | 60c | 432.85$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.35 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +119.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 36c | 261.57$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.43 | 217 | 26.7%58 W · 159 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…05a6backed No | 40c | 232.5$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.5 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a8…445cbacked Yes | 17c | 209.25$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 6c | 190.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -57.0wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x73e3…3239backed No | 77c | 75.71$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.41 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 25c | 65.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 344 | 32.3%111 W · 233 L | -31.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xea4c…9f3bbacked Yes | 30c | 36.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by June 19, 2026?this page
- Will the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by June 15, 2026?No won
- Will the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by June 17, 2026?No won
- Will the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by June 30, 2026?Yes won
- Will the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by May 31, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.