Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf830e1ef4359b1a0b141775b0e7751a15501900bfe2156bd8e66345ca1a526ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BNK FEARXof BNK FEARX, DN SOOPers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,361
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,821
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,361 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe308…25cdbacked BNK FEARX | 41c | 11,967$4,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,046.6 | 664 | 37.2%247 W · 417 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b46…05fabacked DN SOOPers | 0c | 11,318$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked DN SOOPers | 60c | 4,250$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550.29 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed DN SOOPers | 58c | 3,808$2,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,189.9 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed DN SOOPers | 65c | 2,270$1,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,468.22 | 510 | 44.1%225 W · 285 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed DN SOOPers | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x111f…9bebbacked DN SOOPers | 60c | 1,714$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.31 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…91adbacked DN SOOPers | 67c | 1,467$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.1 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed BNK FEARX | 38c | 1,200$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.98 | 1,156 | 45.1%521 W · 635 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed BNK FEARX | 38c | 929.98$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.19 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe705…f910backed DN SOOPers | 62c | 613.35$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 92 | 34.8%32 W · 60 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09b2…a017backed BNK FEARX | 33c | 500$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 470 | 47.4%223 W · 247 L | +24.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed DN SOOPers | 65c | 430.63$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.91 | 857 | 46.3%397 W · 460 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e1…8b57backed DN SOOPers | 62c | 392.46$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.32 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed BNK FEARX | 35c | 342.95$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.92 | 313 | 37.7%118 W · 195 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed DN SOOPers | 62c | 315.23$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.44 | 488 | 52%254 W · 234 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked DN SOOPers | 58c | 310.52$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.1 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb503…7552backed BNK FEARX | 40c | 289.2$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.52 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed BNK FEARX | 36c | 267.11$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.95 | 394 | 51%201 W · 193 L | -14.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed BNK FEARX | 36c | 267.11$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.95 | 395 | 41.3%163 W · 232 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3107…a26fbacked BNK FEARX | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed BNK FEARX | 34c | 200$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 520 | 45%234 W · 286 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed BNK FEARX | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 241 | 47.3%114 W · 127 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…860abacked DN SOOPers | 65c | 195.8$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.27 | 299 | 44.1%132 W · 167 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…95adbacked DN SOOPers | 64c | 195.68$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.24 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac4…cdddbacked DN SOOPers | 62c | 156.82$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.23 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b5…5b6abacked BNK FEARX | 39c | 113.01$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.94 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed BNK FEARX | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 249 | 41.4%103 W · 146 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked DN SOOPers | 59c | 88$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.92 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdffe…b4d3backed BNK FEARX | 38c | 71.45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.14 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked BNK FEARX | 78c | 61.85$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac02…b942backed DN SOOPers | 60c | 59.52$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.71 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed DN SOOPers | 62c | 58.63$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.35 | 143 | 60.8%87 W · 56 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6926…152dbacked DN SOOPers | 64c | 45.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 843 | 60.1%507 W · 336 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked BNK FEARX | 39c | 45.7$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.88 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216c…5a7fbacked DN SOOPers | 64c | 45.22$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked DN SOOPers | 53c | 42.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.87 | 416 | 51.2%213 W · 203 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed5b…8e60backed BNK FEARX | 37c | 38.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.19 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed DN SOOPers | 65c | 35.6$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 246 | 42.3%104 W · 142 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked DN SOOPers | 65c | 33.58$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 821 | 61%501 W · 320 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce20…bb8abacked BNK FEARX | 38c | 33.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.59 | 218 | 59.2%129 W · 89 L | +26.1wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +18%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed BNK FEARX | 33c | 33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…7b79backed DN SOOPers | 62c | 31.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 576 | 55.9%322 W · 254 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6d…804bbacked BNK FEARX | 38c | 28.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.91 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cf…a603backed BNK FEARX | 57c | 26.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x514f…1fa1backed BNK FEARX | 60c | 24.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf13…ed3dbacked DN SOOPers | 55c | 20.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed DN SOOPers | 63c | 19.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 285 | 59.6%170 W · 115 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2BNK FEARX won
- LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 WinnerBNK FEARX won
- LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 WinnerBNK FEARX won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.