Tennis · resolved market
BMW Open: Alex Molcan vs Ben Shelton
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d8bb64259c5b9d3b6cc15fd0ee7ad1fa4ce9847940fa02f619f4a493c54d0b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ben Sheltonof Alex Molcan, Ben Shelton
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $474,887
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $581,610
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $474,887 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 311 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Alex Molcan | 22c | 40,289$8,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,853.99 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Alex Molcan | 11c | 20,866$2,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,270.5 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Alex Molcan | 15c | 14,730$2,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,178.81 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Alex Molcan | 30c | 14,671$4,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,456.6 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f75…af7ebacked Ben Shelton | 70c | 13,963$9,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,177.22 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Ben Shelton | 72c | 13,724$9,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,894.71 | 441 | 63.7%281 W · 160 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48d…5182backed Ben Shelton | 68c | 12,981$8,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,153.98 | 245 | 58.8%144 W · 101 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Alex Molcan | 1c | 11,831$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.31 | 341 | 36.4%124 W · 217 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Alex Molcan | 19c | 10,735$2,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,088.3 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08f0…b809backed Alex Molcan | 29c | 9,891$2,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,826.19 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked Ben Shelton | 72c | 9,885$7,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,779.07 | 158 | 60.8%96 W · 62 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Alex Molcan | 28c | 8,399$2,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,311.7 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7002…395cbacked Ben Shelton | 69c | 8,032$5,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,466.85 | 222 | 52.7%117 W · 105 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Alex Molcan | 1c | 6,245$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.62 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…9d6dbacked Alex Molcan | 29c | 6,216$1,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,779.69 | 283 | 38.9%110 W · 173 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42d6…01ccbacked Ben Shelton | 71c | 5,398$3,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,544.87 | 1,077 | 62.8%676 W · 401 L | -27.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Ben Shelton | 72c | 4,489$3,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.86 | 1,267 | 56.6%717 W · 550 L | -18.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb267…5f55backed Alex Molcan | 26c | 4,486$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.04 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Alex Molcan | 22c | 4,343$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.16 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6638…0b09backed Ben Shelton | 70c | 4,053$2,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,216.26 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Alex Molcan | 23c | 4,030$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.99 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Alex Molcan | 15c | 3,977$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.06 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Alex Molcan | 28c | 3,587$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.72 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Alex Molcan | 29c | 3,413$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.89 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9451…c3f9backed Alex Molcan | 15c | 3,163$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.5 | 67 | 23.9%16 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x874f…a13dbacked Alex Molcan | 32c | 3,045$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.41 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | -7.4wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Ben Shelton | 73c | 2,951$2,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.88 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x586b…313bbacked Alex Molcan | 28c | 2,679$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.13 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99fb…acbabacked Ben Shelton | 70c | 2,519$1,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.75 | 257 | 64.6%166 W · 91 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Ben Shelton | 73c | 2,466$1,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.25 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50ec…c1f5backed Ben Shelton | 66c | 2,228$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.54 | 158 | 62.7%99 W · 59 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b3…49f8backed Alex Molcan | 16c | 2,138$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.61 | 198 | 35.4%70 W · 128 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Alex Molcan | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 587 | 34.6%203 W · 384 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Alex Molcan | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.98 | 582 | 32%186 W · 396 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Alex Molcan | 28c | 1,914$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.81 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Alex Molcan | 28c | 1,722$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.23 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa446…d9c6backed Ben Shelton | 71c | 1,385$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.78 | 153 | 54.2%83 W · 70 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc452…7234backed Ben Shelton | 71c | 1,385$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.44 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3231backed Alex Molcan | 14c | 1,318$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.8 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1f…2bd0backed Alex Molcan | 29c | 1,288$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.58 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…f2abbacked Alex Molcan | 29c | 1,225$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.39 | 433 | 34.9%151 W · 282 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Alex Molcan | 33c | 1,172$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.48 | 801 | 53.1%425 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Alex Molcan | 14c | 1,093$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.95 | 1,671 | 53%885 W · 786 L | +44.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8c…f75abacked Ben Shelton | 72c | 1,092$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.88 | 327 | 63.9%209 W · 118 L | +15.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Ben Shelton | 72c | 1,082$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.83 | 454 | 57.9%263 W · 191 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e48…6158backed Ben Shelton | 72c | 1,058$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.33 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea6…0890backed Alex Molcan | 2c | 1,035$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 77 | 24.7%19 W · 58 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea2…3e80backed Ben Shelton | 68c | 1,026$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.27 | 60 | 75%45 W · 15 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Alex Molcan | 28c | 1,025$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.04 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | +18.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Alex Molcan | 28c | 1,020$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.6 | 159 | 48.4%77 W · 82 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x731c…9819backed Alex Molcan | 28c | 1,013$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.52 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Alex Molcan | 28c | 999.98$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Ben Shelton | 69c | 999.97$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.99 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…66abbacked Ben Shelton | 73c | 997.36$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.29 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Alex Molcan | 28c | 955.19$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.45 | 336 | 50.9%171 W · 165 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Alex Molcan | 15c | 930$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.5 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Alex Molcan | 29c | 759.32$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.2 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0807…a499backed Alex Molcan | 26c | 727.95$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.33 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d34…7c14backed Ben Shelton | 72c | 693.54$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.81 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae4…bf8cbacked Ben Shelton | 71c | 692.73$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.89 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Ben Shelton | 71c | 691.97$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.67 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -5.8wins | -0.23per pick | 47cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Ben Shelton | 70c | 660.26$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.22 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Ben Shelton | 77c | 637.92$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.08 | 898 | 50.1%450 W · 448 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1729…75e9backed Alex Molcan | 29c | 635.85$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc0…1912backed Alex Molcan | 15c | 632.66$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.9 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32dc…c109backed Ben Shelton | 72c | 615.87$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.44 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Alex Molcan | 17c | 558.94$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.02 | 1,026 | 50%513 W · 513 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0036…553ebacked Ben Shelton | 71c | 555.66$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.68 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Alex Molcan | 28c | 550.25$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.57 | 280 | 38.2%107 W · 173 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddaa…e514backed Alex Molcan | 28c | 542.51$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.9 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa182…3106backed Ben Shelton | 77c | 520.79$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.28 | 609 | 62.7%382 W · 227 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Alex Molcan | 30c | 494.97$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.49 | 645 | 40.2%259 W · 386 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Ben Shelton | 71c | 491.3$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.48 | 600 | 55.7%334 W · 266 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70c9…caf5backed Ben Shelton | 71c | 484.38$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.47 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed Ben Shelton | 70c | 480.78$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.9 | 219 | 57.1%125 W · 94 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Alex Molcan | 29c | 470.46$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.43 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x713d…ba88backed Ben Shelton | 75c | 452.48$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.66 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5462…fe43backed Ben Shelton | 70c | 448.98$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.7 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Alex Molcan | 29c | 434.14$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.3 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd179…74adbacked Ben Shelton | 72c | 429.62$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.29 | 287 | 56.1%161 W · 126 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eaf…507bbacked Alex Molcan | 31c | 423.79$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.38 | 181 | 33.1%60 W · 121 L | -14.8wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e0…4983backed Alex Molcan | 34c | 423.71$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.06 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe289…c31abacked Ben Shelton | 70c | 423.21$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.68 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6170…f3fdbacked Ben Shelton | 71c | 415.18$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.4 | 277 | 62.8%174 W · 103 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa6…d3c2backed Ben Shelton | 72c | 407.23$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.19 | 465 | 62.6%291 W · 174 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Ben Shelton | 76c | 404.71$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.14 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e72…d0b9backed Alex Molcan | 8c | 401.63$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.47 | 707 | 29.1%206 W · 501 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb58…a62ebacked Ben Shelton | 68c | 401.46$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.38 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed Alex Molcan | 32c | 400$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 489 | 41.1%201 W · 288 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a57…7615backed Ben Shelton | 71c | 399.96$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.99 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed Ben Shelton | 71c | 395.04$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.59 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd43b…5913backed Ben Shelton | 72c | 382.36$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.06 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b64…a351backed Ben Shelton | 72c | 372.81$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.39 | 352 | 68.2%240 W · 112 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aaf…09afbacked Ben Shelton | 71c | 367.85$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.68 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…9613backed Ben Shelton | 72c | 339.24$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.36 | 205 | 65.4%134 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c5…c8c1backed Ben Shelton | 70c | 333$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.9 | 390 | 55.6%217 W · 173 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…b715backed Alex Molcan | 32c | 329.73$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.51 | 573 | 21.8%125 W · 448 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Alex Molcan | 28c | 326.48$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.55 | 184 | 47.3%87 W · 97 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd552…5ebebacked Alex Molcan | 30c | 322.53$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.76 | 360 | 38.9%140 W · 220 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…e0c1backed Alex Molcan | 30c | 319.33$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.8 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- BMW Open: Alex Molcan vs Ben Sheltonthis page
- Alex Molcan vs. Ben Shelton: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Molcan vs. Shelton: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Molcan vs SheltonShelton won
- Set Handicap: Shelton (-1.5) vs Molcan (+1.5)Shelton won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.