CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5d120fe8e09dde7dfa89fa6a0d93f7100a883f483a58b228385140bbe5492bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Legacyof 9z, Legacy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,279
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,334
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,279 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked 9z | 1c | 1,182$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 197 | 3.6%7 W · 190 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -91.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed 9z | 39c | 1,156$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.91 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3c…0518backed 9z | 41c | 944.88$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.17 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Legacy | 61c | 823.86$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.75 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Legacy | 62c | 803.36$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.02 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Legacy | 60c | 608.33$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.51 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed Legacy | 63c | 311.32$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.64 | 275 | 44%121 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed 9z | 28c | 301.5$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.48 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed 9z | 16c | 298$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.68 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 9z | 32c | 284.76$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.72 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Legacy | 68c | 194.98$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.77 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Legacy | 66c | 154.25$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.94 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Legacy | 75c | 144.58$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.61 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked 9z | 35c | 113.09$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.13 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed 9z | 48c | 100.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.44 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked Legacy | 73c | 96.94$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.31 | 840 | 37.9%318 W · 522 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked 9z | 21c | 88.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d5…26eabacked 9z | 22c | 86.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac02…b942backed Legacy | 67c | 76.48$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.36 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd067…9b9abacked Legacy | 76c | 59.47$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 456 | 63.6%290 W · 166 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked 9z | 36c | 58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -19.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Legacy | 68c | 57.04$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed 9z | 20c | 54.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa044…1227backed 9z | 22c | 52.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed 9z | 28c | 49.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed 9z | 31c | 42.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 392 | 58.2%228 W · 164 L | +18.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Legacy | 66c | 38.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed 9z | 35c | 32.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Legacy | 49c | 30.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.22 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: 9z vs Legacy - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: 9z vs Legacy (BO3) - BetBoom RUSH B! Summit PlayoffsLegacy won
- Counter-Strike: 9z vs Legacy - Map 2 WinnerLegacy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.