Tennis · resolved market
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Marta Kostyuk vs Tatjana Maria
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67605f2513bb01a61295ed938348877e867169b465d20adac54b8ce9ffd1e9d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marta Kostyukof Marta Kostyuk, Tatjana Maria
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $129,939
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $136,731
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,939 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd10c…0645backed Tatjana Maria | 13c | 17,203$2,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,177.25 | 65 | 23.1%15 W · 50 L | -9.4wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…dc9ebacked Tatjana Maria | 10c | 16,928$1,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,655.45 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9451…c3f9backed Tatjana Maria | 8c | 11,853$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.17 | 67 | 23.9%16 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48d…5182backed Tatjana Maria | 13c | 6,929$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.77 | 245 | 58.8%144 W · 101 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa661…af49backed Tatjana Maria | 5c | 5,509$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.14 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c45…0ac6backed Tatjana Maria | 13c | 2,131$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.76 | 119 | 35.3%42 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Tatjana Maria | 12c | 1,263$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.51 | 139 | 58.3%81 W · 58 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Tatjana Maria | 9c | 1,246$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.68 | 2,521 | 38.4%969 W · 1,552 L | +93.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf23a…df6fbacked Tatjana Maria | 8c | 1,120$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.8 | 512 | 52.1%267 W · 245 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cdd…db30backed Tatjana Maria | 9c | 1,090$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.1 | 194 | 24.2%47 W · 147 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Tatjana Maria | 11c | 1,090$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.9 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Tatjana Maria | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Tatjana Maria | 14c | 855.08$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.87 | 609 | 43.3%264 W · 345 L | -24.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Tatjana Maria | 3c | 834.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 279 | 36.2%101 W · 178 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Tatjana Maria | 16c | 826.35$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.95 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Tatjana Maria | 12c | 787.84$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.19 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Tatjana Maria | 2c | 643.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 1,207 | 8%96 W · 1,111 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Tatjana Maria | 4c | 631.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed Tatjana Maria | 9c | 624.29$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.23 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -12.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x813a…b67fbacked Tatjana Maria | 9c | 527.63$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.49 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…4c29backed Tatjana Maria | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 83 | 26.5%22 W · 61 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 17cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…20bebacked Tatjana Maria | 11c | 464.52$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.1 | 482 | 14.1%68 W · 414 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Tatjana Maria | 10c | 299.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 671 | 31.3%210 W · 461 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed Tatjana Maria | 7c | 269.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 372 | 21.5%80 W · 292 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac02…b942backed Tatjana Maria | 12c | 266.63$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.95 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Tatjana Maria | 9c | 260.21$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.42 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Tatjana Maria | 15c | 233.81$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.61 | 801 | 53.1%425 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8d…b575backed Tatjana Maria | 10c | 160.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…9f16backed Tatjana Maria | 15c | 126.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Tatjana Maria | 11c | 123.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 380 | 13.9%53 W · 327 L | -38.3wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3da5…8b2ebacked Tatjana Maria | 17c | 111.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 58 | 63.8%37 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…0dfdbacked Tatjana Maria | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7713…daf0backed Tatjana Maria | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Marta Kostyuk vs Tatjana Mariathis page
- Set 1 Winner: Kostyuk vs MariaKostyuk won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.