Australian A League · resolved market
Melbourne City FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbfa1f21a166e7d662fcbd6d613a0c72d3d630bac362c3ddc429ea9293762cb45
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,946
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,820
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,946 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Over | 61c | 9,990$6,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,093.86 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4907…f72abacked Under | 39c | 6,910$2,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,215.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…7558backed Over | 2c | 4,968$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…dababacked Under | 46c | 4,819$2,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,597.51 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x844e…4efdbacked Under | 59c | 4,679$2,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,938.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 46c | 3,874$1,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,794.67 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 46c | 3,150$1,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,715.91 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…2134backed Over | 39c | 2,406$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.05 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | +19.7wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +31%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f354backed Over | 57c | 1,759$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.68 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…8814backed Over | 50c | 1,502$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.53 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6836…f2cdbacked Over | 52c | 1,432$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5af4…183cbacked Under | 39c | 1,403$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 59c | 881.45$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.4 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 48c | 880.01$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.12 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce9…ced7backed Over | 55c | 814.96$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 778.36$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.74 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…c2f1backed Over | 49c | 755$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.4 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +4.1wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +117.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 61c | 732.51$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.41 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 51c | 715$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.12 | 151 | 40.4%61 W · 90 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fb…28dabacked Over | 52c | 601.4$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.73 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 48c | 597.96$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.18 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 39c | 500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf07…e601backed Under | 51c | 440.86$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.02 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa485…92a5backed Over | 57c | 396.72$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d07…ade2backed Over | 29c | 339.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 43c | 328.28$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.28 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Over | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e15…8ea4backed Over | 59c | 317.33$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 65c | 313.98$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.04 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 38c | 307.53$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 73c | 296.17$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.33 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 14c | 283.53$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.63 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf885…aac5backed Over | 62c | 274.19$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 12c | 266.67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 39c | 256$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.16 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 42c | 253.41$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.45 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce7a…fef0backed Under | 50c | 233.18$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.59 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +153.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…2935backed Under | 39c | 230.77$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.77 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +6.7wins | +0.24per pick | 55cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1f…eb43backed Over | 47c | 221.28$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5395…687abacked Over | 49c | 215$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 33c | 200$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc2…5dbbbacked Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe23b…df94backed Over | 49c | 196$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6af9…a022backed Under | 50c | 190.12$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.06 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +170%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 54c | 167.23$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.37 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Over | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 40c | 166.67$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 68c | 152$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.31 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 53c | 151.97$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.67 | 349 | 37.8%132 W · 217 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 44c | 150.64$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.28 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 44c | 150.64$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.28 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Over | 44c | 150.64$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.28 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 47c | 150$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Over | 54c | 134.92$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 90 | 65.6%59 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 50c | 133.62$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.81 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6687…b9ddbacked Under | 50c | 133.62$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.81 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under | 50c | 133.62$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.81 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb253…26febacked Under | 40c | 131.43$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.86 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -4.5wins | -0.19per pick | 60cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 42c | 109.63$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Over | 42c | 107.18$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.23 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 42c | 105.69$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.81 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 42c | 105.69$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.81 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 42c | 105.69$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.81 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 39c | 100.39$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.24 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Over | 50c | 100.01$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c74…0d16backed Over | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 40c | 96$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 32c | 92.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac02…b942backed Under | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x959f…9e2fbacked Under | 53c | 87.38$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked Over | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Under | 40c | 85$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.2wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 46c | 81.69$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.58 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b4b…b4ebbacked Over | 60c | 74.85$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Over | 62c | 70$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 30c | 66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Under | 40c | 63.54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.12 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 43c | 56.79$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 32c | 54.66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 61c | 50.82$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5d…d917backed Under | 60c | 50.03$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.03 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Over | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21b8…47f4backed Over | 43c | 49.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7356…04cfbacked Over | 52c | 47.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…f99abacked Under | 40c | 46.95$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.17 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 37cpaid | +124.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fff…76e6backed Under | 58c | 46.55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Under | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 46c | 45.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.86 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 54c | 45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 59c | 43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913f…d2ebbacked Over | 40c | 37.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 40c | 36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Under | 78c | 35.58$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…cf83backed Over | 62c | 34.01$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…2b45backed Over | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Under | 44c | 32.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.16 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Melbourne City FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Melbourne City FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Melbourne City FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Melbourne City FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Melbourne City FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Melbourne City FC (-1.5)Melbourne City FC won
- Spread: Wellington Phoenix FC (-1.5)Melbourne City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.