CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Tricked - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2282f4136cdd460ec83e3a9202825b2205c9adc55c4e863b0579d023a2aa16a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trickedof fnatic, Tricked
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,987
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,515
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,987 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2529…548abacked Tricked | 40c | 2,185$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,312.46 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed fnatic | 52c | 1,144$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.27 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked fnatic | 75c | 984.81$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.5 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdde9…f432backed Tricked | 40c | 886.66$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.22 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked fnatic | 68c | 433.27$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.78 | 609 | 53.4%325 W · 284 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Tricked | 34c | 399.99$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.99 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a21…ba51backed fnatic | 66c | 380.77$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.31 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca2…5d25backed fnatic | 71c | 302.29$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.77 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed fnatic | 38c | 299.26$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.85 | 185 | 36.2%67 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Tricked | 37c | 274.56$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.61 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked fnatic | 65c | 260.56$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.15 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked fnatic | 65c | 250$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.5 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Tricked | 37c | 230.96$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.21 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Tricked | 42c | 226.33$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.14 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed fnatic | 29c | 200.49$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.03 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…3b7dbacked fnatic | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 318 | 52.8%168 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Tricked | 63c | 189.13$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.17 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked fnatic | 59c | 183.15$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.06 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Tricked | 42c | 174.6$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.8 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd83…7d7cbacked fnatic | 71c | 166.8$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.89 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed Tricked | 33c | 162.48$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.34 | 299 | 34.4%103 W · 196 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac02…b942backed fnatic | 59c | 150.68$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.31 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked fnatic | 28c | 150$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 363 | 34.2%124 W · 239 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Tricked | 49c | 148.08$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.54 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda00…5c4dbacked fnatic | 68c | 142.79$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.1 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -4.9wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -38%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed fnatic | 54c | 140$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…46e5backed fnatic | 75c | 132.26$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.39 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Tricked | 30c | 131.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.78 | 185 | 49.2%91 W · 94 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Tricked | 48c | 114.12$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.81 | 389 | 42.4%165 W · 224 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…f538backed fnatic | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed fnatic | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27e9…f09ebacked fnatic | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb600…4440backed Tricked | 46c | 99.25$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.67 | 165 | 46.1%76 W · 89 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked fnatic | 55c | 94.34$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.56 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…0d8abacked fnatic | 74c | 90.41$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.94 | 330 | 57.3%189 W · 141 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07cc…b2e6backed fnatic | 68c | 80.4$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.94 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Tricked | 44c | 74.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.23 | 250 | 42.8%107 W · 143 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…27fbbacked Tricked | 26c | 73.13$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.28 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed Tricked | 34c | 72.83$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.75 | 721 | 39.7%286 W · 435 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0702…e5eabacked Tricked | 43c | 72.78$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.48 | 185 | 41.6%77 W · 108 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Tricked | 31c | 65.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.67 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed fnatic | 57c | 54$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.78 | 185 | 45.4%84 W · 101 L | +9.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x839f…c2cebacked fnatic | 66c | 49.56$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.71 | 164 | 51.8%85 W · 79 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133c…b5abbacked fnatic | 71c | 49.13$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.88 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed fnatic | 57c | 45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 293 | 47.8%140 W · 153 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed fnatic | 29c | 43.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Tricked | 34c | 43.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.35 | 447 | 48.1%215 W · 232 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Tricked | 30c | 42.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.83 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…eb73backed fnatic | 58c | 42.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Tricked | 42c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Tricked | 47c | 34.86$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed fnatic | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed fnatic | 57c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 368 | 45.9%169 W · 199 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Tricked | 50c | 25.65$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8447…7443backed fnatic | 58c | 25.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb909…2d57backed Tricked | 58c | 24.61$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…2368backed fnatic | 66c | 21.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8120…a9f1backed fnatic | 66c | 19.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Tricked - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Tricked (BO3) - Conquest of Prague Online Stage Group StageTricked won
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Tricked - Map 1 WinnerTricked won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.