TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Deportivo Alavés end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$99,067
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$113,141

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,067 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed No75c10,988$8,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,294.2990843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes28c4,963$1,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,571.0983444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No41c4,438$1,809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,809.243,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97f9…0aebbacked No74c4,100$3,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0345440.7%22 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes74c3,626$2,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$958.471,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0a3…e4b7backed Yes26c3,515$914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,600.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8401…0fa1backed Yes19c3,505$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,839.43933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+21.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes26c3,226$832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,394.282,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked No71c2,828$2,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,011.2360147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes79c2,199$1,748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.8174457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed No52c2,154$1,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,125.89736.1%35 W · 62 L+14.3wins+0.15per pick21cpaid+150%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed No74c2,000$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,479.987561.3%46 W · 29 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No62c1,982$1,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,226.1321950.2%110 W · 109 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes19c1,903$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,541.2715044.7%67 W · 83 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes31c1,881$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,297.5725872.9%188 W · 70 L+23.2wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+12.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes47c1,745$813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$931.9949057.1%280 W · 210 L+26.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd66b…1220backed Yes18c1,020$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$836.53714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick13cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c5b…cc75backed No75c1,013$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.442466.7%16 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Yes45c917.51$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.4819953.3%106 W · 93 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Yes30c776.27$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.396879.4%54 W · 14 L+14.7wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+44%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Yes28c705.91$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.3128357.2%162 W · 121 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f2d…318bbacked No13c700$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$913013.3%4 W · 26 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick10cpaid+350.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Yes28c697.18$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.8123456.4%132 W · 102 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Yes28c692.13$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.596657.6%38 W · 28 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No74c682.34$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.9364457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe56…593abacked No15c612.72$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.4248.3%2 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick14cpaid+7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x191a…b47dbacked No10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501414.3%2 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick8cpaid+240.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7b8…e32bbacked No10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick9cpaid+28.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes30c479$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.323762.9%149 W · 88 L+21.9wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+15%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x08c0…6c8abacked Yes25c477.27$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.95250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes31c464.86$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.0992345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No26c450$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.0960832.4%197 W · 411 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91e3…23bfbacked No3c436.45$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e8f…4374backed Yes26c423.15$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.13966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+84.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Yes26c410.76$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.9622758.1%132 W · 95 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x417e…85e4backed No10c400$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40147.1%1 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick7cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes26c392.8$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.6719260.9%117 W · 75 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1263…fddcbacked Yes25c382$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.52962.1%18 W · 11 L+4.2wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+44.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1df5…1e18backed Yes30c340.76$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.66259.7%37 W · 25 L+8.4wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+24.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x36c4…b9c8backed No17c334.47$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.86333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick15cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4147…902abacked Yes8c315.93$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.82030%6 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick20cpaid+71%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Yes29c308.23$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.3120360.1%122 W · 81 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Yes29c308.23$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.319164.8%59 W · 32 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+13.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc775…6b22backed No13c307$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.911010%1 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fcd…445ebacked No20c300$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602218.2%4 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick14cpaid+82%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57f7…ae57backed No20c300$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601822.2%4 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick16cpaid+81.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ce0…6599backed No20c297.5$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.68244.2%1 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick12cpaid-75.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb31b…edcabacked Yes34c296.59$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.7511149.5%55 W · 56 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No75c286.52$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.4669750.8%354 W · 343 L+3.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Yes16c249.97$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.4718650%93 W · 93 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a91…c1f2backed Yes48c246.94$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.444100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+55.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes25c241.7$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.2648153.6%258 W · 223 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed No46c240.99$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.395141.2%21 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed No70c239.85$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.1220252%105 W · 97 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed No68c237.55$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.5333734.7%117 W · 220 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes24c225.17$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.294,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2480…c148backed No20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406512.3%8 W · 57 L-0.3wins0.00per pick13cpaid+29.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafc4…daa1backed No20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402913.8%4 W · 25 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+30.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0979…fc8abacked No20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40248.3%2 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick14cpaid-51.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes11c198.51$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.1421322.1%47 W · 166 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No43c198.36$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.6640033.5%134 W · 266 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x38b8…f812backed No79c190.54$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.15556.4%31 W · 24 L+7.1wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+38.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes26c183.77$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.9919555.9%109 W · 86 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes26c183.77$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.9922456.3%126 W · 98 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe50…618abacked No16c177.33$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.37728.6%2 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick14cpaid+204.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes28c170.86$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.0223152.8%122 W · 109 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No11c164.09$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0426930.5%82 W · 187 L-21.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-42.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x447d…bd4abacked No60c162.67$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.64238.1%16 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No67c162.48$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.8640357.1%230 W · 173 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9720…2c24backed No26c160$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.22920.7%6 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-27%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed No64c156$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.843435.3%12 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x030d…8e95backed Yes48c155.39$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.934450%22 W · 22 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-17.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Yes26c153.35$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.489244.6%41 W · 51 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes32c149.66$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.9959655.4%330 W · 266 L+31.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No59c148.68$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.0845841%188 W · 270 L-11.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa912…297fbacked No77c143.9$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.17540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes29c137.17$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.271,50838.7%583 W · 925 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1b1…3cd5backed Yes19c125.13$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.36616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick14cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66c6…53e2backed No75c121.16$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xffff…4413backed No71c120.73$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.096536.9%24 W · 41 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-36.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No60c120.15$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.7518956.6%107 W · 82 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed No66c120$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.617044.1%75 W · 95 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed Yes69c117.77$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.516170.5%43 W · 18 L+9.9wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+27.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No59c115.08$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.5983939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes13c106$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.227440.5%30 W · 44 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+25%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No67c100.95$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.6361657.8%356 W · 260 L+42.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed No75c100$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.520353.7%109 W · 94 L+0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes26c100$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7415344.4%68 W · 85 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfccd…02d6backed Yes25c100$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756762.7%42 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3177…cb28backed No75c100$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.56051.7%31 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe574…68a7backed Yes25c100$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.31per pick40cpaid+164.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0e6b…5076backed No75c98.5$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcab…b9bbbacked No73c98.41$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.842623.1%6 W · 20 L-6.9wins-0.27per pick50cpaid-66.1%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xd8d7…406dbacked Yes77c98.01$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.015255.8%29 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x019a…f457backed Yes25c97.24$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.363234.4%11 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-30.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed No74c95.78$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.885259.6%31 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick60cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1ce…685dbacked No75c95.55$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc198…6d2cbacked Yes11c92.92$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.71361.5%8 W · 5 L+3.1wins+0.24per pick37cpaid+93.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbd10…32e8backed Yes41c92.75$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.36540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-24.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4266…0e08backed Yes26c91.88$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.991915.8%3 W · 16 L-3.2wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-58.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.