CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x231fc878fcd9beb922ffe60ebdb588375bbfd09282dc41bb324508f16b1acbbe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nemigaof Nemiga, ex-RUBY
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,967
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,285
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,967 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Nemiga | 46c | 1,446$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.98 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed ex-RUBY | 55c | 919.98$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.94 | 418 | 47.1%197 W · 221 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nemiga | 47c | 905.55$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.16 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Nemiga | 59c | 901.13$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.62 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed Nemiga | 46c | 893.11$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.28 | 484 | 37.6%182 W · 302 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nemiga | 48c | 842.66$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.78 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ex-RUBY | 54c | 826.75$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.75 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked ex-RUBY | 16c | 673.83$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.07 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ex-RUBY | 37c | 666.54$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.14 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed ex-RUBY | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed ex-RUBY | 48c | 473.3$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.49 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed Nemiga | 65c | 397.62$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.17 | 443 | 43.3%192 W · 251 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8c…1e4dbacked ex-RUBY | 4c | 338.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +224.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Nemiga | 63c | 327.92$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.46 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed ex-RUBY | 50c | 302.64$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.32 | 593 | 43.2%256 W · 337 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Nemiga | 70c | 302.19$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.26 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed ex-RUBY | 32c | 263.44$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.3 | 84 | 36.9%31 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Nemiga | 61c | 184.59$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.29 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked ex-RUBY | 54c | 181$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.28 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e70…caccbacked ex-RUBY | 28c | 170.86$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.84 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45da…72febacked ex-RUBY | 58c | 168.5$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.47 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ex-RUBY | 60c | 151.39$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.16 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed ex-RUBY | 33c | 99.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 328 | 45.1%148 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed ex-RUBY | 32c | 93.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked ex-RUBY | 44c | 86.83$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.26 | 406 | 52.2%212 W · 194 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Nemiga | 49c | 81.25$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.05 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd93…0370backed Nemiga | 62c | 78.36$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.82 | 23 | 91.3%21 W · 2 L | +6.5wins | +0.28per pick | 63cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa100…60e1backed ex-RUBY | 35c | 78.26$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.17 | 137 | 37.2%51 W · 86 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac02…b942backed ex-RUBY | 42c | 67.62$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.23 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc347…8ee3backed Nemiga | 41c | 61.87$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2527…f09cbacked Nemiga | 55c | 48.65$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…a9e1backed Nemiga | 59c | 46$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.02 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1c…35c6backed Nemiga | 67c | 43.89$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8487…c1dbbacked Nemiga | 37c | 39.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.58 | 480 | 52.3%251 W · 229 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked ex-RUBY | 35c | 38.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 270 | 15.2%41 W · 229 L | -41.9wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa016…4bc6backed Nemiga | 60c | 37.97$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed ex-RUBY | 54c | 36.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd57b…c48fbacked Nemiga | 65c | 35.61$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.46 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…cd56backed Nemiga | 58c | 34.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked Nemiga | 41c | 34.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.05 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460e…607cbacked ex-RUBY | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e3…aee1backed ex-RUBY | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc532…abc2backed Nemiga | 50c | 29.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f0…d7a4backed Nemiga | 59c | 24.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.17 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 56cpaid | +67%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab4…5c9cbacked Nemiga | 76c | 23.65$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 89 | 88.8%79 W · 10 L | +10.3wins | +0.12per pick | 77cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed ex-RUBY | 54c | 23.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…7558backed Nemiga | 67c | 22.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Nemiga | 55c | 19.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 213 | 51.2%109 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56da…0438backed Nemiga | 74c | 19.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 31 | 96.8%30 W · 1 L | +6.0wins | +0.19per pick | 77cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs ex-RUBY - Map 1 Winnerex-RUBY won
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs ex-RUBY - Map 2 WinnerNemiga won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.