Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Blockx (+2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f12ab63be8d604eb4894b540e61e6a64586e8f48c987aeb6936acec373fe609
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blockxof Zverev, Blockx
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,629
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,086
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,629 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Zverev | 66c | 15,176$10,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,016.04 | 459 | 57.5%264 W · 195 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Blockx | 34c | 9,848$3,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,496.79 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Blockx | 34c | 1,674$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.53 | 359 | 55.7%200 W · 159 L | +20.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Blockx | 34c | 1,550$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.19 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Zverev | 49c | 1,171$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.65 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Blockx | 51c | 1,084$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.37 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3a…a56bbacked Zverev | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 171 | 49.1%84 W · 87 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd169…8ff6backed Zverev | 64c | 472.99$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.71 | 284 | 37.3%106 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Blockx | 34c | 421.91$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.46 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x707b…69f2backed Blockx | 48c | 395.83$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.83 | 311 | 46%143 W · 168 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Blockx | 34c | 392.88$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.19 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Blockx | 48c | 376.34$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.32 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b14…3ca3backed Blockx | 49c | 348.78$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.59 | 494 | 47.2%233 W · 261 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Blockx | 34c | 338.24$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.24 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Blockx | 37c | 274.18$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.53 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Blockx | 34c | 260.79$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.12 | 1,021 | 49.8%508 W · 513 L | +42.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Zverev | 54c | 224.17$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.3 | 457 | 51%233 W · 224 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe06a…ca30backed Blockx | 51c | 222.75$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.65 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62f9…ae42backed Zverev | 53c | 196.05$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.24 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | -7.9wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Blockx | 45c | 179.17$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.17 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02cd…cedcbacked Zverev | 9c | 178$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Blockx | 34c | 173.53$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.53 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Blockx | 48c | 149.97$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.99 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Zverev | 52c | 144$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.88 | 444 | 42.3%188 W · 256 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d58…cfccbacked Blockx | 34c | 124.7$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.3 | 87 | 28.7%25 W · 62 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e66…bbd2backed Blockx | 57c | 104.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Zverev | 43c | 104.65$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…a854backed Zverev | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 255 | 44.3%113 W · 142 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Zverev | 52c | 89.79$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.28 | 374 | 36.4%136 W · 238 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c8…a722backed Blockx | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…5c66backed Blockx | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 483 | 55.1%266 W · 217 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Blockx | 36c | 75.01$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.85 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Blockx | 39c | 75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 346 | 50.6%175 W · 171 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d1…ac86backed Blockx | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb315…d6c9backed Zverev | 51c | 45.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 153 | 24.8%38 W · 115 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Zverev | 50c | 38.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Blockx | 34c | 35.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.29 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…a183backed Zverev | 53c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x483a…3992backed Zverev | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Zverev | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Zverev | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Blockx (+2.5)this page
- Alexander Blockx vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
- Blockx vs. Zverev: Match O/U 36.5Over won
- Set 2 Winner: Blockx vs ZverevBlockx won
- Set 3 Winner: Blockx vs ZverevZverev won
- Wimbledon ATP: Alexander Blockx vs Alexander ZverevAlexander Zverev won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.