Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on April 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb683703ae1939f302de81dfb78a1bb6006e21e36c25bfb33f31a46cba315457
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,966
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,328
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,966 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1fc4…7ae7backed Yes | 25c | 1,138$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.98 | 236 | 33.5%79 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a19…3c95backed Yes | 24c | 854.92$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.41 | 428 | 57%244 W · 184 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…6719backed Yes | 74c | 573.29$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.04 | 920 | 28.7%264 W · 656 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13e0…7465backed Yes | 25c | 565.37$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.59 | 352 | 33%116 W · 236 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 46c | 493.73$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.49 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 26c | 479.96$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.79 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…ad84backed Yes | 3c | 399.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.99 | 507 | 3.4%17 W · 490 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d6…017cbacked Yes | 24c | 349.98$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.06 | 238 | 23.9%57 W · 181 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 77c | 324.05$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.85 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4d…57b9backed Yes | 41c | 300.4$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.62 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 9c | 296$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.55 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb180…77c1backed Yes | 33c | 286.91$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +207.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked No | 59c | 276$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.56 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 17c | 256.79$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.52 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…bc23backed No | 66c | 239.78$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.25 | 811 | 65.8%534 W · 277 L | -37.1wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 20c | 217.66$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.92 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 36c | 212.03$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.5 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…88e1backed Yes | 29c | 204.57$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.25 | 1,298 | 33.1%430 W · 868 L | +39.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 49c | 186.23$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.76 | 584 | 22.8%133 W · 451 L | -26.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8302…8b44backed Yes | 29c | 170.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.38 | 117 | 37.6%44 W · 73 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf55f…8e92backed No | 60c | 168.48$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.62 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 79c | 164.32$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.01 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae47…638dbacked No | 78c | 146.5$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.45 | 525 | 71.2%374 W · 151 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…352dbacked Yes | 13c | 137.89$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.32 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf899…0759backed Yes | 29c | 131.41$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.93 | 267 | 38.6%103 W · 164 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 77c | 130.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.47 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x307f…c327backed Yes | 34c | 127$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe752…2200backed Yes | 40c | 127$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.61 | 1,204 | 25.3%305 W · 899 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 27c | 125.18$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.86 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0638…df07backed Yes | 34c | 123.89$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.98 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb14d…8f95backed Yes | 26c | 123.21$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.79 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a7…f77fbacked Yes | 31c | 115.95$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.37 | 180 | 38.9%70 W · 110 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 73c | 109.22$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.83 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…3587backed No | 77c | 106.57$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.35 | 273 | 76.6%209 W · 64 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 76cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x643d…f7ddbacked Yes | 22c | 104.01$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.35 | 68 | 25%17 W · 51 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b07…e4c5backed Yes | 33c | 94.66$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2967…4ae7backed Yes | 27c | 93.03$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.66 | 257 | 25.7%66 W · 191 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 19c | 91.89$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.43 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87a2…2250backed No | 78c | 90.98$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.52 | 170 | 66.5%113 W · 57 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x354d…eb8fbacked Yes | 29c | 90.64$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.21 | 701 | 33.5%235 W · 466 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 64c | 88.97$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.6 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86d3…da78backed Yes | 23c | 86.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 265 | 33.2%88 W · 177 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x256a…c1fbbacked Yes | 23c | 80.26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.8 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc52f…0981backed No | 76c | 79.49$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.78 | 146 | 71.2%104 W · 42 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe217…5c75backed Yes | 28c | 75.47$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.34 | 160 | 30%48 W · 112 L | -15.2wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a8…c784backed Yes | 31c | 74.08$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c99…3ef0backed No | 76c | 73.64$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.3 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94ce…edf2backed Yes | 30c | 71$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.7 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb70a…0883backed No | 70c | 70.87$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.33 | 78 | 66.7%52 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…a737backed No | 76c | 70.7$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.05 | 226 | 75.7%171 W · 55 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53bc…be7cbacked No | 73c | 66.71$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.82 | 627 | 70.5%442 W · 185 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 79c | 65.21$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.55 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 72c | 55.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed No | 54c | 54.15$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 1,026 | 64%657 W · 369 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…198dbacked No | 73c | 53.62$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.94 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x855e…de25backed No | 69c | 53.01$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -7.7wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 77c | 53$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.81 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb30…1631backed Yes | 63c | 52.14$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.26 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +140.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x078e…3ebdbacked Yes | 49c | 51.16$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.16 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5005…620cbacked No | 77c | 50.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.07 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | -6.8wins | -0.12per pick | 73cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b7…8030backed No | 79c | 50.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.7 | 125 | 64.8%81 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…bfe7backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9693…bc1cbacked Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc52a…e37abacked No | 78c | 47.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.27 | 182 | 72%131 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6834…3e15backed No | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5e…40fbbacked No | 55c | 42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.14 | 335 | 61.5%206 W · 129 L | -22.2wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x108f…7136backed Yes | 26c | 39.32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc362…14a8backed Yes | 75c | 38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +14%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…d57dbacked No | 76c | 37.45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.39 | 486 | 72%350 W · 136 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36c2…2b8cbacked No | 80c | 37.01$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 707 | 70.2%496 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d70…cc5ebacked No | 71c | 34.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 156 | 66%103 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 71c | 34.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 1,313 | 76.1%999 W · 314 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…7833backed No | 78c | 30.01$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 66c | 29.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…c70bbacked No | 75c | 29.27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 549 | 66.7%366 W · 183 L | -27.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked No | 67c | 27.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f7b…bc29backed No | 72c | 27.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 146 | 66.4%97 W · 49 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9acf…0cc2backed No | 73c | 26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 229 | 45.4%104 W · 125 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9e6cbacked No | 75c | 25.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…4e36backed No | 80c | 24.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 197 | 72.6%143 W · 54 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07a…f97abacked No | 71c | 24.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 127 | 17.3%22 W · 105 L | -10.2wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…6eccbacked Yes | 69c | 23.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 1,090 | 74.2%809 W · 281 L | +179.3wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 75c | 23.77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…8e43backed No | 80c | 22.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 151 | 55.6%84 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9b…156cbacked No | 70c | 22.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2869…527dbacked No | 70c | 20.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 937 | 34.9%327 W · 610 L | -203.5wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…0b95backed No | 74c | 19.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 70c | 19.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 175 | 70.3%123 W · 52 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe856…7347backed No | 77c | 19.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 75cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa36b…1d89backed No | 76c | 19.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 555 | 38.4%213 W · 342 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5243…e40ebacked No | 77c | 19.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d6…62a5backed No | 77c | 19.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…245ebacked No | 76c | 18.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 116 | 64.7%75 W · 41 L | -8.2wins | -0.07per pick | 72cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1542…ee9dbacked No | 75c | 17.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa22f…af41backed No | 78c | 14.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4179…cceebacked No | 75c | 14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 429 | 76.5%328 W · 101 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf6…c61bbacked No | 78c | 12.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 608 | 51.2%311 W · 297 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02cd…cedcbacked No | 79c | 12.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 78cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on April 28?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on April 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C on April 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on April 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on April 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on April 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on April 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on April 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on April 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C or higher on April 28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.