Fifa International · resolved market
Norway to win the second half?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58977895a4c96d4735945fedda917f0b10b8249e9ec86e29ace53278d3579e32
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $92,319
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,400
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,319 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 41c | 38,142$15,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,804.06 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed No | 67c | 36,474$24,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,036.38 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked No | 30c | 8,674$2,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,088.52 | 580 | 49.1%285 W · 295 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 52c | 5,521$2,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,846.36 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 67c | 5,337$3,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,761.17 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 39c | 5,311$2,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,066.41 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 61c | 5,184$3,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,016.82 | 431 | 45.2%195 W · 236 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5f…1695backed Yes | 33c | 4,545$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 372 | 23.9%89 W · 283 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…e900backed No | 25c | 2,537$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,907.78 | 364 | 37.1%135 W · 229 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…ac20backed No | 24c | 2,339$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,766.54 | 345 | 33.6%116 W · 229 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 73c | 2,316$1,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,685.5 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 57c | 2,196$1,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,244.57 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked No | 60c | 1,848$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.2 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaff8…ab4abacked Yes | 6c | 1,798$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 311 | 52.7%164 W · 147 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 61c | 1,500$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 35c | 1,441$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.78 | 222 | 26.6%59 W · 163 L | -15.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f46…ef94backed Yes | 33c | 1,212$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed No | 63c | 1,112$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.35 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 51c | 1,003$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.08 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed No | 61c | 1,001$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.39 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed No | 62c | 999.9$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.96 | 195 | 45.6%89 W · 106 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f17…b55dbacked No | 67c | 998.95$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.65 | 121 | 45.5%55 W · 66 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…0b7dbacked Yes | 62c | 969.7$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | -13.8wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -41%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2e80…787bbacked Yes | 79c | 886.66$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.59 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0392…ab02backed Yes | 76c | 789.47$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 203 | 54.7%111 W · 92 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc15d…ef9ebacked Yes | 19c | 676.2$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.44 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…2874backed Yes | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 76c | 581.5$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.94 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 40c | 472.06$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.82 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 13c | 440$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.4 | 419 | 68.3%286 W · 133 L | +65.4wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Yes | 39c | 383.36$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.61 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 34c | 360$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.15 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9516…0bcbbacked Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 562 | 40.6%228 W · 334 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15a2…3e89backed Yes | 33c | 302.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 112 | 19.6%22 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…3323backed Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeaa…ed6dbacked Yes | 80c | 250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f17…6cb3backed Yes | 76c | 239.64$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.13 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…f49ebacked Yes | 19c | 238.17$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a44…d5a5backed Yes | 33c | 212.29$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.06 | 165 | 49.1%81 W · 84 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 61c | 204$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.56 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 61c | 204$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.56 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 62c | 203.14$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.2 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e61…19bdbacked Yes | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | +13.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…e5d7backed Yes | 70c | 200$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce0c…5bb3backed Yes | 33c | 190.91$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -7.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf8…e08ebacked Yes | 63c | 190.19$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 40c | 182.15$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.97 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 69c | 178.28$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.37 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd72…5a5bbacked Yes | 33c | 171.62$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.94 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebed…3528backed Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee35…0015backed Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 65c | 150$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.13 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a2…dbbcbacked Yes | 34c | 143.25$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.08 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 39c | 133$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.06 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…7460backed Yes | 31c | 129.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43c6…4870backed Yes | 77c | 129.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 12c | 128$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113 | 217 | 49.8%108 W · 109 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc702…b3fcbacked Yes | 80c | 120.46$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.37 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51f3…2e03backed Yes | 77c | 114$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.05 | 77 | 11.7%9 W · 68 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde37…3a43backed Yes | 33c | 106.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb35c…f2c1backed Yes | 52c | 95.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4e…a566backed Yes | 33c | 89.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3968…85b5backed Yes | 39c | 77.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | +20.4wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…af29backed Yes | 39c | 77.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 98 | 62.2%61 W · 37 L | +20.5wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…b629backed Yes | 40c | 75.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +10.8wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x03c9…d8c1backed Yes | 40c | 75.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 131 | 58.8%77 W · 54 L | +26.4wins | +0.20per pick | 39cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…a3b6backed Yes | 40c | 75.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 142 | 60.6%86 W · 56 L | +25.7wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x425e…ecfabacked Yes | 40c | 75.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 113 | 60.2%68 W · 45 L | +22.2wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8e…22ebbacked Yes | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 92 | 33.7%31 W · 61 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 60c | 75.17$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.07 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa461…878abacked No | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 272 | 60.3%164 W · 108 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9b…2d24backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 38c | 57.79$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02cd…cedcbacked Yes | 49c | 54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…51abbacked Yes | 41c | 52.72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +19.7wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe6da…2a10backed Yes | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 61c | 48.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef2…ac98backed Yes | 77c | 45.48$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.02 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77fc…432bbacked Yes | 80c | 41.25$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 249 | 55.4%138 W · 111 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…bbbabacked Yes | 39c | 39.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | +34.7wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +61%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x660c…7f7abacked Yes | 72c | 38.04$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 190 | 47.4%90 W · 100 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…4cc3backed Yes | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 62cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…d820backed Yes | 55c | 37.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 37c | 37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 426 | 40.1%171 W · 255 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f4…c6eebacked Yes | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 173 | 57.8%100 W · 73 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf460…b2adbacked Yes | 80c | 30$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f4…12dabacked Yes | 80c | 30$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 77 | 66.2%51 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9f…a686backed No | 66c | 16.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 184 | 73.4%135 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd683…9e40backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Norway to win the second half?this page
- Norway vs. Senegal: Second half draw?Yes won
- Senegal to win the second half?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.