Asian League · resolved market
Henan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8437c11f422d1dcbb55303df101d2e9a2b1311906d8f12c27d1346506773bd30
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,961
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,725
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,961 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x07ea…a6babacked Over | 57c | 9,033$5,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,172.22 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 46c | 5,696$2,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,062 | 193 | 40.9%79 W · 114 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 4,146$2,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,106.88 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 44c | 3,574$1,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,987.07 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 34c | 2,857$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,879 | 92 | 68.5%63 W · 29 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 37c | 2,355$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,476.58 | 2,397 | 37.8%905 W · 1,492 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad31…c93abacked Under | 11c | 2,322$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,057.26 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +6.5wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 56c | 2,219$1,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,252.08 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…ac20backed Under | 8c | 2,211$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,034.92 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +164.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 76c | 2,052$1,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.88 | 692 | 52.3%362 W · 330 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f8…4078backed Under | 34c | 1,615$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.39 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Under | 11c | 829.74$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.62 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 42c | 648.26$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.24 | 144 | 29.2%42 W · 102 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83bf…8aa4backed Over | 51c | 457$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.07 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 68c | 397.06$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.06 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 70c | 347.43$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.57 | 374 | 59.1%221 W · 153 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…22d8backed Under | 64c | 314.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.15 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 158 | 26.6%42 W · 116 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 48c | 299.92$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.96 | 197 | 53.8%106 W · 91 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…729cbacked Under | 70c | 291.98$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.68 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed Under | 44c | 270.72$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.27 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +8.9wins | +0.26per pick | 50cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6cfe…c83cbacked Under | 20c | 243.2$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.97 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 17c | 207.57$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.09 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 45c | 200.74$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.36 | 1,354 | 45.4%615 W · 739 L | +14.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…e2b8backed Over | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -53%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Under | 55c | 194.65$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.82 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +151%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 69c | 177.42$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 1,101 | 49.7%547 W · 554 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 38c | 173.5$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.93 | 1,617 | 36.3%587 W · 1,030 L | -34.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…fc6dbacked Under | 23c | 160.98$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 28cpaid | +230.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 60c | 159.71$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.83 | 1,053 | 41.9%441 W · 612 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c6…52bcbacked Over | 65c | 145.51$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 181 | 38.7%70 W · 111 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 46c | 120$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 150 | 35.3%53 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 59c | 119.1$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.64 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +49.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Over | 77c | 115$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.4 | 117 | 64.1%75 W · 42 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…9024backed Over | 35c | 111.73$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 40cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 64c | 103.86$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 243 | 48.6%118 W · 125 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…f040backed Under | 12c | 100.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.88 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe79f…0204backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Under | 69c | 84.35$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.78 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4abb…d858backed Under | 69c | 78.28$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.27 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe3…a9f7backed Under | 33c | 76.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.33 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Under | 46c | 75.9$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.87 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 60c | 70$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 260 | 52.7%137 W · 123 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 63c | 68.25$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.21 | 375 | 62.7%235 W · 140 L | +61.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fb…6b9cbacked Over | 29c | 64.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Under | 67c | 63.22$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.01 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Under | 24c | 58.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.21 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Over | 37c | 51.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde78…4aa6backed Over | 70c | 50.19$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 1,959 | 54.6%1,069 W · 890 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80fd…11f5backed Over | 70c | 47.67$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 58c | 42.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.07 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -14.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc28d…52ebbacked Over | 55c | 42.28$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Under | 32c | 38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.84 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Over | 64c | 37.49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 61c | 36.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3b…8f52backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf69f…ffeebacked Under | 33c | 36.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2126…aeebbacked Under | 53c | 34.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…84f7backed Under | 70c | 34.17$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Over | 44c | 32.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabca…8cd7backed Under | 56c | 30.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 60cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa837…a47cbacked Over | 71c | 29.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Over | 70c | 28.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a97…90b1backed Over | 69c | 26.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Over | 58c | 26.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 87 | 6.9%6 W · 81 L | -21.4wins | -0.25per pick | 31cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Under | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02cd…cedcbacked Over | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Under | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbce…91b2backed Over | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f04…2392backed Under | 62c | 19.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.27 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Under | 73c | 17.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8582…abb5backed Over | 63c | 16.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Henan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Henan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Henan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Henan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Henan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Henan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Henan FC (-1.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
- Spread: Henan FC (-2.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-1.5)Henan FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-2.5)Henan FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.